Three Areas of Interest in the Atlantic, and bye bye Bertha!

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU JUL 17 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT
200 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CURACAO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25
MPH. WHILE CONDITIONS CURRENTLY DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAS
INCREASED DURING THE DAY AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN VENEZUELA AND ADJACENT ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

2. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING
NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA CONTINUES TO BE WELL-ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH
THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE
MOVING INLAND TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE SPREADING OVER
PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA. THIS ACTIVITY COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

3. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES EAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS COULD ALLOW FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW DRIFTS TO THE NORTH OR
NORTH-NORTHEAST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

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000
WTNT32 KNHC 172040
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 59
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST THU JUL 17 2008

...BERTHA TURNS TOWARD THE EAST...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST OR ABOUT 455
MILES...730 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 905 MILES...
1455 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...34.0 N...57.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE