Extratropical Depression Bill heads towards the Region
WTNT32 KWNH 202042
TCPAT2
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2015
...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BILL CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAIN
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 83.0W
ABOUT 65 MILES...104 KM...NNW OF JACKSON KENTUCKY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...24 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS A SECTION OF
CENTRAL OHIO. FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST. AFTER SPENDING MORE
THAN THREE DAYS OVER LAND...BILL HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WHILE STILL MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS ACROSS KENTUCKY AND OHIO. RADAR
IMAGERY STILL SHOWS A BURST OF CONVECTION TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF
THE CENTER OF BILL. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS HAVE REPORTED UP TO 26
MPH WIND GUSTS NEAR THE CENTER. OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE
AHEAD OF THE CENTER THROUGH THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TOWARD THE
MID-ATLANTIC. THERE IS ALSO A SLOW MOVING LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE WARM FRONT IN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW YORK.
THE REMNANTS OF BILL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC. BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY AS IT
BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAIN FROM THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION.
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.
RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT
...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE 4.42
BENTONVILLE 4.27
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 4.03
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 3.85
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW 3.74
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW 3.31
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD 3.24
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT 2.67
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW 2.62
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT 2.49
...ILLINOIS...
COOKS MILL 5.14
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE 5.01
SULLIVAN 3 S 4.89
CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO 4.83
FLORA 4.70
LAWRENCEVILLE-VINCENNES INTL AP 4.63
ALLENVILLE 1 S 4.50
ELBURN 4.45
MATTOON/CHARLESTON 4.23
SOUTH CAROL STREAM 4.11
BATAVIA 3.87
CAHOKIA/ST. LOUIS 3.58
MURPHYSBORO 3.56
ROCHELLE 3.43
MANHATTAN 5 SSE 3.26
...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU 6.72
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT 5.27
SANDBORN 4.96
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT 4.87
BICKNELL 4.67
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD 4.53
MOROCCO 3.70
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD 3.16
NEW ROSS 2 E 2.87
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 2.57
ANDERSON 5 NW 2.30
TERRE HAUTE/HULMAN RGNL ARPT 2.12
CHESTERTON 1.70
...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT 3.64
OLATHE/JOHNSON 1.79
COLLYER 2.1 SE 1.45
...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY 3.54
FRANKFORT/CAPITAL CITY ARPT 2.12
CALHOUN/LOCK 2.02
JACKSON/J. CARROLL 1.96
PADUCAH/BARKLEY 1.90
LEXINGTON/BLUE GRASS FIELD 1.14
...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT 4.79
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW 3.84
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE 2.42
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE 2.13
RUSTON 1.6 NW 1.85
...MISSOURI...
FORDLAND 4 WNW 8.25
BATTLEFIELD 7.93
OZARK 3 N 7.54
SPOKANE 3 SE 7.00
HARTVILLE 1 E 6.90
HIGHLANDVILLE 6.75
SEYMOUR 6.20
SPRINGFIELD 7 E 6.00
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S 5.48
HURLEY 8 ENE 5.00
EXETER 5.00
COMPETITION 5.00
ROGERSVILLE 4.80
NIXA 2.7 SSW 4.72
LINDEN 2 NE 4.60
...OHIO...
LIMA/ALLEN CO. APRT 5.11
AKRON-CANTON REGIONAL ARPT 3.51
WILMINGTON/CINCINNATI WFO 3.46
DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS 2 WNW 3.21
DAYTON/JAMES M COX AIRPORT 3.01
CINCINNATI (ASOS) 2.90
...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E 12.53
NEWPORT 11.52
BURNEYVILLE 10.09
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 8.63
RINGLING 8.27
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT 7.35
SULPHUR 7.09
MACOMB 5.2 ESE 5.82
MARIETTA 2.8 SW 5.57
ADA 0.3 NNW 5.45
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW 5.30
NORMAN 3.4 SE 3.61
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S 2.64
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 2.55
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT 1.51
...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE 12.50
GANADO 1.5 W 11.77
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE 9.51
SEALY 0.3 WNW 9.17
ALICE INTL ARPT 9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE 8.57
VICTORIA 9 ESE 7.73
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW 7.51
MANOR 4.7 WSW 7.30
WF SAN JACINTO 7.06
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT 6.98
NAVASOTA 8 SE 6.73
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW 6.59
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE 6.46
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW 6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.14
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE 5.80
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 2.91
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 2.51
FORT WORTH NAS 2.34
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.
FORECASTER FANNING
FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 20/2100Z 38.5N 83.0W
12HR VT 21/0600Z 39.0N 77.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 21/1800Z 39.9N 72.8W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 22/0600Z 42.1N 65.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 22/1800Z 44.6N 60.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
$$
3:53 PM ADT Saturday 20 June 2015
Special weather statement in effect for:
- Fredericton and Southern York County
A low pressure system will approach from the Great Lakes on Sunday while another low originating from the Southern United States approaches the Maritimes. There is some uncertainty in exactly how these systems will merge but it appears the southern low will draw tropical moisture from the south and with it the potential for a heavy rainfall event. At this time it appears rain will begin over Western New Brunswick near noon on Sunday and over Eastern New Brunswick later in the afternoon. Rain will continue Sunday night and into Monday as the low moves over Nova Scotia. Total rainfall amounts exceeding 50 millimetres are possible with this system before the rain tapers later on Monday.
The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as warnings may be required.
Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weather.gc.ca.
:53 PM ADT Saturday 20 June 2015
Special weather statement in effect for:
- Halifax Metro and Halifax County West
A low pressure system will approach from the Great Lakes on Sunday while another low originating from the Southern United States approaches the Maritimes. There is some uncertainty in exactly how these systems will merge but it appears the southern low will draw tropical moisture from the south and with it the potential for a heavy rainfall event. At this time it appears rain will begin over Western Nova Scotia early Sunday afternoon and spread eastward. Rain will continue Sunday night and into Monday morning as the low moves over Nova Scotia. Total rainfall amounts exceeding 50 millimetres are possible with this system before the rain tapers later on Monday.
The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as warnings may be required.
Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weather.gc.ca.
3:53 PM ADT Saturday 20 June 2015
Special weather statement in effect for:
- Queens County P.E.I.
A low pressure system will approach from the Great Lakes on Sunday while another low originating from the Southern United States approaches the Maritimes. There is some uncertainty in exactly how these systems will merge but it appears the southern low will draw tropical moisture from the south and with it the potential for a heavy rainfall event. At this time it appears rain will begin over the island late Sunday afternoon or early Sunday evening. Rain will continue Sunday night and into Monday as the low moves over Nova Scotia. Total rainfall amounts exceeding 50 millimetres are possible with this system before the rain tapers later on Monday.
The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as warnings may be required.
Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weather.gc.ca.
posted by Advackia at 3:57 PM
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