Winter Storm Quinlan

000

FXUS61 KCAR 101647

AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Caribou ME

1147 AM EST Thu Mar 10 2022

.SYNOPSIS...

High pressure will cross the region later today. Weak low

pressure will cross the region later Friday. A stronger

intensifying low will lift across the region Saturday then exit

across the Maritimes Sunday. High pressure will cross the region

Monday.

&&....

.....SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...

A west to southwest flow aloft will persist across the region on

Friday. A weak boundary setting up across far northern Maine will be

the focus for some light snow developing later Friday morning into

Friday afternoon. Any snow accumulations on Friday will

generally be less than an inch. Highs on Friday will generally

range from the lower 30s north and upper 30s to lower 40s

central and Downeast. Low pressure will move northeast toward

the mid atlantic region later Friday night, and then intensify

as it tracks northeast toward toward Downeast Maine later

Saturday afternoon. Across far northern areas, including the St.

John Valley and the North Maine Woods, the precipitation is

expected to be mainly in the form of heavy wet snow during

Saturday, with the potential significant heavy wet snow

accumulation. In coordination with neighboring office, have

opted to issue a Winter Storm Watch beginning late Friday night

through late Saturday night. The snow may change to, or mix with

rain, Saturday afternoon as far north as the Caribou/Presque

Isle areas, before precipitation changes back to all snow

Saturday evening, as the storm exits into the Canadian

Maritimes. This may limit snow accumulations a bit there, but

the combination of heavy wet snow on Saturday and gusty winds

Saturday night behind the intensifying storm, has the potential

to result in scattered power outages. Across central and

Downeast Maine, the precipitation during Saturday is expected to

be mainly in the from of rain. The rain may be locally heavy at

times. The combination of locally heavy rain and snow melt may

result in some ice movement on area rivers and streams across

central and Downeast maine Saturday into Saturday evening. As

colder air wraps into the region Saturday evening, the

precipitation may change to all snow before tapering off

Saturday evening. Across northern areas, snow will continue into

Saturday night, before tapering to snow showers late. Gusty

winds can be expected Saturday night behind the intensifying

low, and this may result in areas of blowing and drifting snow,

mainly across northern areas later Saturday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

The intensifying low will continue to exit to the northeast of

the Canadian Maritimes on Sunday. There may be a few lingering

snow showers across northern areas early Sunday morning,

otherwise expect partly to mostly sunny conditions. Gusty

Northwest winds will continue into Sunday afternoon. Winds will

diminish Sunday evening as high pressure builds across the

region. The high will remain across the region on Monday and

then move east Monday night. A cold front will approach Monday

evening and cross the region on Tuesday. Could be a chance of

snow or rain showers with the passage of the front on Tuesday.

High pressure will then build east Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Highs on Sunday will be below normal, then above normal Monday

through Wednesday.

&&.....

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Caribou ME

955 AM EST Thu Mar 10 2022

MEZ002-102300-

/O.CON.KCAR.WS.A.0008.220312T1000Z-220313T0800Z/

Northeast Aroostook-

Including the cities of Presque Isle, Caribou, Van Buren,

Mars Hill, and Ashland

955 AM EST Thu Mar 10 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT

THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 7 to

  14 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph

  Saturday night.

* WHERE...Northeast Aroostook County.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through late Saturday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be extremely dangerous.

  Power outages are possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant

snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue

to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Caribou ME

529 AM EST Thu Mar 10 2022

MEZ005-006-011-015>017-029>032-111030-

Northern Penobscot-Southeast Aroostook-Central Penobscot-

Southern Penobscot-Interior Hancock-Central Washington-

Coastal Hancock-Coastal Washington-Southern Piscataquis-

Northern Washington-

529 AM EST Thu Mar 10 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Highlands Maine,

Coastal DownEast Maine, Far Eastern Maine, Interior DownEast Maine

and Penobscot Valley Maine.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A mix of rain and snow is expected on Saturday. The rain may be

locally heavy on Saturday across central and Downeast areas,

including the Greater Bangor region. The combination of locally

heavy rainfall and snow melt, may result in ice movement and the

potential for ice jams.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather

conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

10:43 AM AST Thursday 10 March 2022

Special weather statement in effect for:

Fredericton and Southern York County

Significant snow, rain and wind is expected this weekend.

Locations: New Brunswick.

Time span: Saturday through Saturday night.

Remarks: An intense low pressure system is expected to track across the Maritimes this weekend bringing snow, rain and wind to the province. Current indications are that it will be primarily a rain event for central and southern parts of the province. Northeast New Brunswick could see snow changing to rain with Northwest new Brunswick seeing only snow.

There is currently still some uncertainty in the exact track of the low pressure system. Forecast precipitation types and amounts will depend on this track and the exact location of the rain snow line.

While it is too soon to provide specifics, additional information will become available in the coming days as details become clearer.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NBstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #NBStorm.

10:43 AM AST Thursday 10 March 2022

Special weather statement in effect for:

Halifax Metro and Halifax County West

Significant wind and rain is expected this weekend.

Locations: Nova Scotia.

Time span: Saturday morning through Saturday night.

Remarks: An intense low pressure system is expected to track over the Maritimes Saturday bringing heavy rain and strong winds to much of the province.

An extended period of strong winds is expected to begin Saturday afternoon and persist through the evening. Strongest gusts will likely occur along the Atlantic coastline.

There is currently still some uncertainty regarding the exact track of the low pressure system. While it is too soon to provide specifics, additional information will become available in the coming days as details become clearer.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.

10:43 AM AST Thursday 10 March 2022

Special weather statement in effect for:

Queens County P.E.I.

Heavy rain and strong wind is expected this weekend.

Locations: Prince Edward Island.

Time span: Saturday through Saturday night.

Remarks: An intense low pressure system is expected to track across the Maritimes Saturday bringing heavy rain and strong winds to the province.

There is currently still some uncertainty regarding the exact track of the low pressure system. While it is too soon to provide specifics, additional information will become available in the coming days as details become clearer.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to PEstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #PEStorm.