Here comes Hurricane Sandy, the Frankenstorm! Part II

WOCN31 CWHX 271745
Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian
Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada
At 2:57 PM ADT Saturday 27 October 2012
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Tropical cyclone information statement for:
      Nova Scotia
      Prince Edward Island
      New Brunswick
      Southern Quebec
      Southern Ontario.

      For hurricane Sandy.

      The next statement will be issued by 9:00 PM ADT.

      Hurricane Sandy will be reaching the East Coast of the united
      States on Monday.  While the most severe conditions will
      Affect Northeastern United States, wide-ranging and
      Signigicant impacts are expected across parts of eastern
      Canada.

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==discussion==
1. Summary of basic information at 3.00 PM ADT.

Location: 29.5north 75.7west about 440 kilometres northeast of
Freeport Bahamas.

Maximum sustained winds: 120 km/h.

Present movement: north-northeast 15 km/h

Minimum central pressure: 958 MB

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

Hurricane Sandy is currently north of the Bahamas and is moving
north-northeastward. Although Sandy briefly weakened to a
Tropical storm earlier today maximum sustained winds associated
With it have increased to 120 km/h bringing Sandy back to hurricane
status. During the weekend Sandy is forecast to continue to track
north or northeastward while remaining at hurricane strength. Sandy
will gradually lose some of its tropical characteristics and on
Monday it is expected to take an uncharacteristic turn to the
northwest and begin interacting with an approaching trough from the
west.

Current indications from various weather models are that Sandy could
strengthen before moving inland on the United States East Coast in
the vicinity of Delaware late Monday as a very large and powerful
storm. It is important to remember that impacts will cover a large
area well away from the center. There are various factors
Influencing the evolution of the storm and as a result there is
Still some degree of uncertainty with respect to the magnitude of
The impacts from the storm. For this reason people living in these
areas are urged to pay close attention to messages from the Canadian
Hurricane Centre and local weather forecasts and possible future
warnings throughout the weekend.

A. Rainfall.

Based on the current forecast scenario, Southern and Eastern Ontario
and Western Quebec are likely to see the most rainfall from this
system with total amounts by Tuesday evening possibly reaching the 50
to 100 millimetre range which would be typical for post-tropical
weather systems. However since post-tropical Sandy will be
interacting with a stalled front over Ontario, localised heavier
rainfall amounts of over 100 mm are possible over areas adjacent
To Lake Ontario northward to Algonquin Park.

Heavy rain could also affect other parts of Quebec with amounts of
20 mm likely. At this time, the probability of rainfall amounts
exceeding 25 mm for these areas is around 40%. Heavier rain is
expected over the Maritimes and amounts in this area could exceed 50
mm.

The precipitation could mix with or turn into snow over parts of
South-Central Ontario and extreme Western Quebec as temperatures
approach the freezing mark north and west of the storm. A
Significant snowfall event could occur over Central Ontario.

B. Winds.

Most areas of Southern Ontario will be subject to very windy
conditions with possible severe gusts in excess of 100 km/h
especially along Western Lake Ontario and the Niagara Escarpment.
These gusts could cause broken tree limbs or in some cases uprooted
trees which may result in downed utility lines. Residual falling
leaves can also obstruct storm water drainage systems along roadways
particularly in urban areas. This combined with heavy rainfall could
increase the risk of flooding in some areas.

Very strong northeast winds will also affect eastern and Western
Quebec. There is a good probability of wind gusts exceeding 90
Km/h. Gusty winds can also be expected in the Maritimes especially
Monday night.

C. Waves.

There will be a risk for large waves along the Atlantic coast of
Nova Scotia especially along the south shore as wave activity begins
to increase Monday into Tuesday. These large waves could produce
pounding surf conditions.

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

Gale force winds are expected to spread to Canadian waters well in
advance of Sandy reaching the United States coastline. Gales are
expected on Monday over the Great Lakes, the St Lawrence seaway and
western Maritimes marine waters. There is a possibility of storm
force winds over southwestern marine areas of the Maritimes and on
the Great Lakes.

Also, higher than normal water levels are expected on the st
Lawrence River during high tide Monday evening and especially
Tuesday evening. This could result in coastal flooding in the
Quebec City region.

Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the
latest:

- forecast position, central pressure table.

- strength and predicted wind radii table.

- hurricane track information map.

- technical discussion.

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings
issued by Environment Canada for your area.

End

000
FXUS61 KCAR 272011
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
411 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY.
SANDY WILL MOVE UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON SUNDAY AND WILL LIKELY
AFFECT THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.....

......SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...

-- Changed Discussion --

WHILE THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF SANDY...MODEL CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO SHOW A LANDFALL BETWEEN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND NYC. MODELS HAVE ALSO BEGUN TO HONE IN ON TIMING. IT NOW LOOKS LIKE A SLIGHTLY QUICKER LANDFALL MONDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY MEANDER OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ONCE THE SYSTEM GETS ON LAND...WIND SPEEDS AND COASTAL EFFECTS WILL BE DIMINISHING HOWEVER THE RAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FOR MAINE...THE FORECAST GENERALLY REMAINS ON TRACK. EXPECT COASTAL AND OFF SHORE MAINE TO SEE THE GREATEST THREAT WITH WINDS INCREASING SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING HIGH INTO TUESDAY. HIGHEST WINDS EXPECTED TO BE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF BANGOR TO CALAIS BEGINNING AROUND 2PM MONDAY. WINDS OF ADVISORY CRITERIA (SUST >30 OR GUSTS >45) ARE EXPECTED BUT HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA (SUST >40 OR GUSTS >58) IS POSSIBLE. HIGHEST SEAS EXPECTED TO BE 20-25 FT MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. WILL ALSO ISSUE A STORM WATCH FOR OUR PORTION OF THE GULF...FOR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50-55KTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL DECREASE THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MAINE BUT WILL STILL BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY 15 TO 20 AND HIGHER GUSTS. EXPECT SEVERAL PERIODS OF RAIN...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. EXPECT FIRST WAVE TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE REGION BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT. COULD EASILY SEE UPWARDS OF 2 INCHES JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE ACROSS THE STATE FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

-- End Changed Discussion --

&& .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

-- Changed Discussion --

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL DRIFT NORTH THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THEN MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NEW ENGLAND STATES AND SOUTHERN QUEBEC THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WHILE WEAKENING WITH TIME. WHILE THE MOST SIGNFICANT OF THE WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH BY WEDNESDAY EXPECT UNSETTLED CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK WITH CONTINUING PERIODS OF RAIN AND SHOWERS.

-- End Changed Discussion --

 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
412 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

MEZ015>017-029-030-280415-
/O.NEW.KCAR.HW.A.0002.121029T1800Z-121030T1200Z/
SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-
COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...
AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...
DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...
PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...
MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD
412 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

* WINDS...EAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
  WITH THE STRONGEST EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...WINDS MAY CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES
  LEADING TO POWER OUTAGES AND LOSS OF SOME SERVICES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.