Tropical Storm Andrea Update Three
FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1111 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013 ...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WILL TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MAINE ON SUNDAY. MEZ011-015>017-029>032-072315- /O.NEW.KCAR.FA.A.0003.130608T1200Z-130609T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK- CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON- SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD... BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM... EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM... MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH... BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD... DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO... TOPSFIELD 1111 AM EDT FRI JUN 7 2013 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL HANCOCK...COASTAL WASHINGTON...INTERIOR HANCOCK AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED FROM THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION FROM THIS PAST WEEK. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACROSS THE AFFECTED AREA WILL RANGE FROM 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION RATES COULD BE UP TO ONE HALF INCH AN HOUR IN SOME PLACES. FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS...LOW LYING AREAS...AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
000 WTNT41 KNHC 071453 TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 1100 AM EDT FRI JUN 07 2013 ANDREA CONTINUES TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...BUT IT IS NOT YET FRONTAL AND SOME CONVECTION IS STILL FORMING NEAR THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING HELD AT 40 KT...WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A RECENT SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 KT AT THE OCEAN CREST PIER ON OAK ISLAND NORTH CAROLINA. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS LARGELY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IT IS STILL ASSUMED THAT ANDREA WILL BECOME POST-TROPICAL IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM AND BECOME THE DOMINANT SYSTEM NEAR NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ANDREA SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY THIS LOW IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. ACCELERATION CONTINUES...AND ANDREA HAS AN INITIAL MOTION OF 035/24 KT. THERE IS NOT MUCH SPREAD AMONG THE TRACK GUIDANCE...HOWEVER THE ENTIRE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE BIT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS ALSO BEEN SHIFTED WESTWARD...AND THIS SCENARIO KEEPS THE CENTER OF ANDREA...AND POTENTIALLY SOME OF THE STRONGER WINDS...CLOSER TO THE U.S. EAST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO BE HANDLED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING PRODUCTS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/1500Z 34.4N 79.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 08/0000Z 37.5N 76.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 08/1200Z 41.8N 70.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 09/0000Z 45.3N 63.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 09/1200Z 46.8N 54.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 10/1200Z...ABSORBED BY ANOTHER LOW $$ FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN
Inverness County - Mabou and north 10:53 AM ADT Friday 07 June 2013 Les Suêtes wind warning for Inverness County - Mabou and north continued Les Suetes winds gusting up to 100 km/hour Saturday afternoon and early evening. This is a warning that potentially hazardous winds..Les Suetes..are expected in these regions and over adjacent coastal waters. Monitor weather conditions..listen for updated statements. Tropical storm Andrea, currently located over South Carolina, will become post-tropical and then approach the Maritimes this weekend. Ahead of this system strong southeasterly winds will develop with Les Suetes winds gusting up to 100 km/hour Saturday afternoon and early in the evening.
WOCN11 CWHX 071348
Special weather statement updated by Environment Canada at 10:48 AM
ADT Friday 7 June 2013.
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Special weather statement for:
Mainland Nova Scotia
Cape Breton.
Remnants of Andrea to bring heavy rain and strong winds to
Atlantic Canada this weekend.
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==discussion==
Tropical storm Andrea, currently located over South Carolina, will
become post-tropical and then approach the Maritimes this weekend.
This system is expected to bring significant rainfall to Nova Scotia
beginning late this evening and continuing throughout most of the day
Saturday. Rain will be heavy at times and will be accompanied by
strong winds on Saturday especially for regions along the Atlantic
coast. Rainfall warnings may be required.
The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as
warnings may be required or extended.
Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment
Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca
End
WOCN14 CWHX 071346
Special weather statement updated by Environment Canada at 10:46 AM
ADT Friday 7 June 2013.
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Special weather statement for:
New Brunswick.
Remnants of Andrea to bring heavy rain to parts of new
Brunswick Saturday.
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==discussion==
Tropical storm Andrea, currently located over South Carolina, will
become post-tropical and then approach the Maritimes this weekend.
This system is expected to bring significant rainfall to Southern New
Brunswick beginning late tonight and continuing through most of the
day Saturday. There is potential for the rain to be heavy at times
in some locations, mainly over central and southern regions, and
rainfall warnings may be required.
The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as
warnings may be required or extended.
Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment
Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca
End
WOCN31 CWHX 071145
Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian
Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada at 8:35 AM ADT Friday
7 June 2013.
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Tropical cyclone information statement for:
Atlantic provinces.
For tropical storm Andrea.
The next statement will be issued by 3:00 PM ADT.
Remnants of Andrea to bring potential heavy rain and moderate
Winds to Atlantic Canada this weekend.
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==discussion==
1. Summary of basic information at 9.00 AM ADT.
Location: near 33.3 north 79.8 west.
About 50 kilometres north of Charleston, South Carolina.
Maximum sustained winds: 75 km/h.
Present movement: northeast near 44 km/h.
Minimum central pressure: 996 MB.
2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.
Andrea will become post-tropical during the next few hours and is
then expected to move along the Eastern Seaboard tonight along a
developing warm frontal feature that will extend ahead of the remnant
low pressure center. Although bands of showers are already detected
over the Maritimes the rain associated with the system will be moving
into Southwestern Nova Scotia this evening. This will become heavy
at times overnight and into Saturday as it pushes northeastward
across the rest of the Maritimes. The centre of the remnant low is
expected to track somewhere near Southwestern Nova Scotia or Southern
New Brunswick later Saturday afternoon and then south of Newfoundland
early Sunday.
Rain will likely reach Southwestern Newfoundland by early Saturday
evening and become heaviest overnight into Sunday.
A. Wind.
A Les Suetes wind warning is in effect for the Lee of the Cape Breton
Highlands for southeasterly winds gusting up to 100 km/h beginning
later on Saturday. Elsewhere it is unlikely that winds will reach
warning criteria (gusts of 90 km/h). However most of the region will
experience some moderately windy conditions on Saturday and/or
Sunday. The strongest winds will likely be south of the track of the
center of the remnant low on Saturday - which could give gusts up to
70 km/h to exposed areas of Nova Scotia especially along the
Atlantic coast. Gusty northeast winds could develop over parts of
Prince Edward Island, Cape Breton and Southern Newfoundland Saturday
night or Sunday in the wake of this system.
B. Rainfall.
The primary impact from this system will likely be rainfall.
Expect periods of rain with embedded heavy downpours or
thundershowers over parts of the maritime provinces overnight tonight
and Saturday, and over Southern Newfoundland Saturday night and
Sunday. At this time rainfall warnings (greater than 50 millimetres
in 24 hours) have not been issued for the Maritimes - however general
amounts of 25 to 45 millimetres are currently forecast for parts of
the Maritimes and it is certainly possible these areas could receive
locally higher amounts. Rainfall warnings could be issued for some
areas later today once the consensus of the guidance becomes more
clear.
C. Surge/waves.
No significant surge issues are expected at this time. Based on
latest track moderate wave conditions of 3 to 4 metres could affect
the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia late in the day Saturday.
3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.
Gale warnings have been issued for all marine waters south of Nova
Scotia for Saturday where gale force southwesterly winds up to 40
knots can be expected. Significant wave heights of 4 to 5 metres
will also develop over these waters later on Saturday.
Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the
latest:
- forecast position, central pressure table.
- strength and predicted wind radii table.
- hurricane track information map.
- technical discussion.
Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings
issued by Environment Canada for your area.
End
posted by Advackia at 10:31 AM
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