Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Autumn Rainstorm Update One













FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1228 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS TO BRING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TO
THE STATE. RAIN SHOWERS WILL TRANSITION TO A STEADY RAINFALL
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT STALLS ACROSS CENTRAL
MAINE. UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO
THE REGION AND INTERACT WITH THIS FRONT. IN ADDITION A SURFACE LOW
WILL DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OVERALL WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY UP TO 6
INCHES OVER THIS PERIOD.

MEZ004>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-300430-
/O.NEW.KCAR.FA.A.0002.150930T1200Z-151001T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAXTER ST PARK...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE...
CHURCHILL DAM...MOUNT KATAHDIN...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET...
PATTEN...MEDWAY...HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS...
GREENVILLE...MONSON...BLANCHARD...LINCOLN...HOWLAND...
SPRINGFIELD...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST...
AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS...
GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON...
ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS...
CHERRYFIELD...DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH...
VANCEBORO...TOPSFIELD
1228 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL DOWNEAST MAINE...EAST
  CENTRAL MAINE...EASTERN MAINE...INTERIOR DOWNEAST MAINE...
  NORTH CENTRAL MAINE AND NORTHERN MAINE...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING IN COASTAL ...DOWNEAST MAINE...COASTAL HANCOCK AND
  COASTAL WASHINGTON. IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT
  AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN EASTERN MAINE...NORTHERN
  WASHINGTON. IN INTERIOR DOWNEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...
  INTERIOR HANCOCK AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT. IN NORTH CENTRAL
  MAINE...CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS...NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS AND
  SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK.

* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT
  THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST AREA...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS RECEIVING
  UP TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* FLOODING OF URBAN...POOR DRAINAGE...AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE
  THE GREATEST THREAT. IN ADDITION SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT
  HAVE A FAST RESPONSE TIME COULD BECOME AN ISSUE...ESPECIALLY IN
  HILLY AND MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. MAIN STEM RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
  THEIR BANKS DUE TO VERY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&
$$
:56 PM ADT Tuesday 29 September 2015
Rainfall warning in effect for:
  • Bathurst and Chaleur Region
A long episode of heavy rain is expected.

A slow moving cold front will approach the region this evening and spread rain, at times heavy, across the province beginning tonight, and persisting through Wednesday, with the heaviest rainfall expected to occur Wednesday night. Total rainfall amounts of 100 to 150 millimeters are forecast for much of the province by Thursday morning. Heavy, prolonged rainfall will create a risk of localized and flash flooding for many parts of the province over the next 24 to 36 hours. Rain is expected to ease Thursday morning, as the frontal system slides southeastward and out of the province.
Heavy downpours can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads. Localized flooding in low-lying areas is possible. Don't approach washouts near rivers, creeks and culverts. Be prepared for winter conditions at higher elevations.
3:51 PM ADT Tuesday 29 September 2015
Rainfall warning in effect for:
  • Prince County P.E.I.
Rain, at times heavy, is expected.


A cold front will move over New Brunswick tonight and remain stationary for the next 24 to 36 hours. Rain will begin over
western regions Wednesday morning and spread eastward. The rain will intensify Wednesday evening giving heavy downpours
Wednesday night and into Thursday morning. Rainfall amounts of 50 to 90 millimetres can be expected over Prince County. The rain will ease in intensity on Thursday and move eastward as the cold front moves towards Newfoundland.

While there is some uncertainty with respect to the exact timing and location of the highest rainfall, several models indicate total
amounts in excess of 100 millimetres are possible for parts of the province. Therefore rainfall warnings may be extended.

There is a risk of localized flooding and possibly flash flooding in the heavy downpours with this rainfall event. Use caution if you are travelling during these intense and heavy downpours.
Heavy downpours can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads. Localized flooding in low-lying areas is possible. Watch for possible washouts near rivers, creeks and culverts.

Rainfall Warnings are issued when significant rainfall is expected.

Environment Canada meteorologists will update alerts as required. Please monitor local media or Weatheradio. To report severe weather, send an email to weatherASPC@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports to #PEStorm.

3:45 PM ADT Tuesday 29 September 2015
Rainfall warning in effect for:
  • Yarmouth County
Rain, at times heavy, is expected.

A cold front will move over New Brunswick tonight and remain stationary for the next 24 to 36 hours. Rain will begin over northern Nova Scotia Wednesday afternoon and spread southward. The rain will intensify Wednesday evening giving heavy downpours Wednesday night and into Thursday morning. Rainfall amounts of 50 to 90 millimetres can be expected over the Valley stretching north to the Minas basin. The rain will ease in intensity on Thursday and move eastward as the cold front moves towards Newfoundland.

While there is some uncertainty with respect to the exact timing and location of the highest rainfall, several models indicate total amounts in excess of 100 millimetres are possible for parts of the province. Therefore rainfall warnings may be extended.

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