Hurricane Ophelia and The Extratropical Cyclone Update Three

000
WTNT31 KNHC 021444
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...OPHELIA WEAKENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...

...AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH...50 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON
MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED
TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS
FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA.
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHORTLY AFTER
PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.