Sunday, September 17, 2023

Extratropical Storm Lee (Tropical Storm Force) Moves Away From Our Region



























000
WTNT33 KNHC 171441
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee Advisory Number  49
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132023
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 17 2023

...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR CANADA ARE DISCONTINUED...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON LEE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...48.0N 62.0W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WNW OF PORT AUX BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

Environment Canada has discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings for
Canada.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee
was located near latitude 48.0 North, longitude 62.0 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35
km/h), and a faster northeastward to east-northeastward motion is
expected over the next couple of days, taking Lee over Newfoundland
later today and over the Atlantic waters by early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Continued gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days, and Lee could dissipate on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


000
WTNT43 KNHC 171443
TCDAT3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee Discussion Number  49
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132023
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 17 2023

Environment Canada has discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings.
Post-Tropical Lee is moving toward the northeast and will likely
pass over Newfoundland later today.  The cyclone should accelerate
east-northeastward and merge with a large extratropical low over
the North Atlantic in a couple of days.

This is the last advisory from the National Hurricane Center on
Lee.  Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Gusty conditions will continue over portions of Atlantic Canada 
today.

2. Dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents will continue
to affect the U.S. East Coast, Atlantic Canada, Bermuda, the
Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, Hispaniola, and Puerto
Rico through Monday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/1500Z 48.0N  62.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  18/0000Z 50.0N  56.8W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  18/1200Z 52.7N  47.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  19/0000Z 54.0N  34.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the
web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

WIND: Wind gusts to near gale force are still possible over
portions of Atlantic Canada today.

SURF: Swells generated by Lee continue to affect Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, Bermuda, the
east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pasch


ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee Intermediate Advisory Number 48A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132023
800 AM AST Sun Sep 17 2023

...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE THIS MORNING IN PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC 
CANADA...
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.3N 63.0W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WNW OF CHARLOTTETOWN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM W OF PORT AUX BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...70 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.20 INCHES
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Nova Scotia from Lismore eastward to Point Aconi and
southwestward to east of Porters Lake
* Prince Edward Island from Savage Harbor eastward to east of Wood
Islands
* Magdalen Islands
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning, in this case today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee
was located near latitude 47.3 North, longitude 63.0 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35
km/h), and a faster northeastward motion is expected over the next
couple of days, taking Lee over Newfoundland this afternoon and over
the Atlantic waters by early Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (70 km/h) with 
higher gusts. Continued gradual weakening is forecast during the 
next couple of days, and Lee could dissipate on Tuesday. A number of 
tropical-storm-force wind gusts have been reported across Nova 
Scotia during the past few hours. Beaver Island Nova Scotia 
recently reported a sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) with a gust 
to 54 mph (87 km/h).
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations 
in Canada is 989 mb (29.15 inches).
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the
web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions continue in portions of the
warning areas today. The strong winds could lead to some downed
trees and power outages.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Lee continue to affect Puerto Rico, 
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, Bermuda, the 
east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells 
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current 
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
RAINFALL: Lee is expected to produce an additional 1 inch (25 mm)
or less across eastern portions of New Brunswick.
 
STORM SURGE: Areas of coastal flooding should gradually subside 
today.
 
 NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch/D. Zelinsky
 

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee Advisory Number  48
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132023
500 AM AST Sun Sep 17 2023
 
...LEE NEAR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...
...GUSTY WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF
ATLANTIC CANADA...
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...46.5N 63.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WNW OF CHARLOTTETOWN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM WSW OF PORT AUX BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Prince Edward Island from Lower Darnley eastward to
west of Savage Harbour, and from Wood Islands westward to Victoria.
 
The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Nova Scotia from Brule eastward to west of Lismore, and
from Hubbards eastward to Porters Lake.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Nova Scotia from Lismore eastward to Point Aconi and
southwestward to east of Porters Lake
* Prince Edward Island from Savage Harbor eastward to east of Wood
Islands
* Magdalen Islands
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning, in this case today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee
was located near latitude 46.5 North, longitude 63.7 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35
km/h), and a faster northeastward motion is expected over the next 
couple of days, taking Lee over Newfoundland this afternoon and 
over the Atlantic waters by early Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and 
Lee could dissipate on Tuesday. Beaver Island Nova Scotia recently 
reported a sustained wind of 48 mph (78 km/h) with a gust to 60 mph 
(96 km/h).
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the
web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions continue in portions of the
warning areas today.  The strong winds could lead to some downed
trees and power outages.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Lee are affecting Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, Bermuda, the
east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
RAINFALL:  Lee is expected to produce an additional 1 inch (25 mm)
or less across eastern portions of New Brunswick.
 
STORM SURGE: Areas of coastal flooding should gradually subside 
later today.
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee Intermediate Advisory Number 47A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132023
200 AM AST Sun Sep 17 2023
 
...LEE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW BRUNSWICK...
...STRONG WINDS, COASTAL FLOODING, AND HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING IN
PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA...
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.9N 64.8W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF MONCTON NEW BRUNSWICK
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued all Tropical Storm 
Warnings for New Brunswick, including Grand Manan Island.

The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued the Tropical Storm 
Warning for Prince Edward Island from west of Victoria westward 
to Lower Darnley.

The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued the Tropical Storm 
Warning for Nova Scotia from Tidnish eastward to west of Brule,
the Fundy Coast from Ft. Lawrence east of Margaretsville and from 
Lower East Pubnico to west of Hubbards.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Nova Scotia from Brule eastward to Point Aconi then southwestward 
to Hubbards 
* Prince Edward Island from east of Lower Darnley eastward to 
Victoria
* Magdalen Islands
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning, in this case today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Lee
was located near latitude 45.9 North, longitude 64.8 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 14
mph (22 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected during the
next day or so, taking the system across the Canadian Maritimes.
 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Steady weakening is forecast the next couple of days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km)
from the center. Beaver Island Nova Scotia recently reported a 
sustained wind of 52 mph (83 km/h) with a gust to 61 mph (98 km/h). 
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the
web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continues in portions of the 
warning areas today.  The strong winds are leading to some downed 
trees and power outages.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Lee are affecting Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, Bermuda, the
east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
RAINFALL:  Lee is expected to produce an additional 1 inch (25 mm) 
or less, across eastern portions of New Brunswick.
 
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will produce coastal flooding
within the wind warning areas in Atlantic Canada in areas of
onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by
large and destructive waves.
 
 NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake

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