Hurricane Kyle Update 1

000
WTNT31 KNHC 272032
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
500 PM AST SAT SEP 27 2008

...KYLE BECOMES A HURRICANE...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A
PART OF THE COAST OF MAINE...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINE FROM
STONINGTON EASTWARD TO EASTPORT. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE COAST OF MAINE FROM PORT CLYDE EASTWARD TO EASTPORT. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINE
SOUTH OF PORT CLYDE TO CAPE ELIZABETH...INCLUDING THE PORTLAND
AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CANADA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF NOVA SCOTIA...AND FOR
SOUTHWESTERN NEW BRUNSWICK.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OF KYLE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...
505 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 485 MILES...780 KM...
SOUTH OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KYLE IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND OR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES LATE SUNDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KYLE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 995
MB...29.38 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN
THE BAY OF FUNDY...AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES....ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF OF NEW ENGLAND AND THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES IN ASSOCIATION WITH KYLE.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE NEW ENGLAND STATES...NEW
BRUNSWICK...NOVA SCOTIA...AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...34.3 N...69.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
WTNT41 KNHC 272057
TCDAT1
HURRICANE KYLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2008

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED 850 MB
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 79 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT...ALONG
WITH ESTIMATED SURFACE WINDS OF 65-75 KT FROM THE SFMR. WHILE SOME
OF THE HIGHER SFMR VALUES LOOK SUSPECT...THE HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS
COVERED A LARGE ENOUGH AREA TO JUSTIFY UPGRADING KYLE TO A 65-KT
HURRICANE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THE
CYCLONE APPEARS TO HAVE CHANGED LITTLE TODAY...WITH THE CENTER
REMAINING NEAR THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION AND THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE RANGING FROM 995-999 MB. THUS...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE
INCREASED WINDS ARE MORE RELATED TO THE INCREASE IN THE FORWARD
MOTION THAN ANY INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION.

KYLE HAS ACCELERATED NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH
THE INITIAL MOTION NOW 355/20. KYLE REMAINS BETWEEN A DEEP-LAYER
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS PATTERN SHOULD STEER KYLE GENERALLY
NORTHWARD FOR 12 HR OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AS KYLE ENTERS THE WESTERLIES. WHILE THE MODEL
GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...THERE HAS BEEN A SMALL
EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE GFS...GFDL...HWRF...
AND ECMWF HAVE ALL SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THEIR PREVIOUS RUNS AND
CALL FOR THE CENTER OF KYLE TO MAKE LANDFALL IN EITHER NEW
BRUNSWICK OR NOVA SCOTIA. SEEING THAT THE GUIDANCE SHOWED A RIGHT
SHIFT YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND A LEFT SHIFT LAST NIGHT...THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK WILL REMAIN CLOSE THE THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND CALL
FOR LANDFALL NEAR THE MAINE-NEW BRUNSWICK BORDER IN ABOUT 36 HR.
THE NEW FORECAST TRACK LIES ALONG THE LEFT EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE. THE GUIDANCE SHOWS SOME SIGNIFICANT SPREAD AFTER 48 HR
AS KYLE INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM...SO THE FORECAST TRACK
SHOWS A SLOWER MOTION AT THAT TIME.

KYLE IS EMBEDDED IN STRONG...AND DIVERGENT...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THE
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS SUGGESTS CONTINUED SHEAR...WHICH WOULD
INHIBIT STRENGTHENING...WHILE THE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE WOULD
ENCOURAGE STRENGTHENING. THE GFDL...HWRF...AND SHIPS MODELS
FORECAST SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING BEFORE KYLE REACHES COLD SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN 18-24 HR. THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST WILL
FOLLOW SUIT...CALLING FOR A PEAK INTENSITY OF 70 KT IN ABOUT 12 HR
AND A GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER UNTIL LANDFALL. AFTER
LANDFALL...KYLE SHOULD WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL...WITH THE
CYCLONE BEING ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN 72-96 HR.

THE FORECAST TRACK...INTENSITY...AND WIND RADII REQUIRE A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MAINE AT THIS TIME.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 27/2100Z 34.3N 69.7W 65 KT
12HR VT 28/0600Z 37.2N 69.5W 70 KT
24HR VT 28/1800Z 41.3N 68.2W 70 KT
36HR VT 29/0600Z 45.3N 66.6W 60 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 29/1800Z 48.3N 65.3W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
72HR VT 30/1800Z 51.5N 64.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
96HR VT 01/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WOCN31 CWHX 271800 CCA
TROPICAL STORM KYLE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 PM ADT
SATURDAY 27 SEPTEMBER 2008.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 PM ADT

... CORRECTED THE INITIAL POSITION AND DEPTH IN PART 1...
... KYLE NEARLY A HURRICANE AS IT PASSES WEST OF BERMUDA...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 3.00 PM ADT... TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
33.3 N AND LONGITUDE 69.7 W... ABOUT 250 NAUTICAL MILES OR 465 KM
WEST OF BERMUDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 60
KNOTS... 111 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 998 MB. KYLE IS MOVING
NORTH NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS... 24 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
SEP 27 3.00 PM 33.3N 69.7W 998 60 111
SEP 27 9.00 PM 35.0N 69.4W 987 65 120
SEP 28 3.00 AM 36.9N 69.2W 986 70 130
SEP 28 9.00 AM 39.0N 68.7W 985 70 130
SEP 28 3.00 PM 41.0N 68.1W 988 65 120
SEP 28 9.00 PM 42.8N 67.5W 987 65 120
SEP 29 3.00 AM 44.8N 66.5W 990 60 111 TRANSITIONING
SEP 29 9.00 AM 46.3N 65.8W 997 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 29 3.00 PM 48.0N 65.0W 1000 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 29 9.00 PM 49.4N 63.8W 1002 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30 3.00 AM 50.6N 62.7W 1005 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30 9.00 AM 51.7N 61.6W 1007 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30 3.00 PM 52.6N 60.6W 1012 30 56 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY

AT NOON SATURDAY THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE HAS
ISSUED TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FOR QUEENS COUNTY.. SHELBURNE
COUNTY.. YARMOUTH COUNTY.. DIGBY COUNTY IN NOVA SCOTIA..
SAINT JOHN AND COUNTY.. GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE
COUNTY.. AND ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN
NEW BRUNSWICK. WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR YARMOUTH
DIGBY SHELBURNE QUEENS AND LUNENBURG COUNTIES IN NOVA
SCOTIA AND WIND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR SAINT JOHN
AND COUNTY.. GRAND MANAN AND COASTAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY AND
ST. STEPHEN AND NORTHERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN NEW BRUNSWICK.
WIND GUSTS OF 90 TO 120 KM/H CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE REGIONS
BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

RAINFALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NEW BRUNSWICK
WHERE 50 TO 100 MILLIMETRES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH KYLE. THIS
IS IN ADDITION TO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED TODAY.
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED WEST OF WHERE KYLE
EVENTUALLY MAKES LANDFALL. EMO NEW BRUNSWICK REMINDS THE PUBLIC
THAT RAINFALL IN THESE AMOUNTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME CAN
RESULT IN RAPID INCREASE IN WATER LEVELS IN STREAMS AND RIVERS
AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW BRUNSWICK WILL LIKELY ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT
TREE DAMAGE DURING THE STRONGEST WINDS OF KYLE EITHER SUNDAY
EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. DURING SIMILAR EVENTS IN THE PAST THESE
WINDS HAVE RESULTED IN DOWNED POWER LINES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES
DUE TO FALLEN TREES. ALL PREPARATIONS TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OBJECTS
SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE GASPÉ
PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHORE OF THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY
REGIONS OF QUÉBEC. THIS AREA WILL SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR
EXCEEDING 50 MILLIMETRES AS POST TROPICAL STORM KYLE INTERACTS
WITH A FRONTAL ZONE OVERNIGHT SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY.

ON ITS CURRENT TRACK KYLE WILL BE PASSING BY YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA
AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE IN YARMOUTH. THE RESULTING STORM SURGE
ON TOP OF THE DANGEROUS ROUGH SURF FROM KYLE MAY LEAD TO
SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO THE COASTAL INFRASTRUCTURE
MAINLY IN YARMOUTH AND DIGBY COUNTIES.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY

AT 3 PM ADT THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE WILL BE
ISSUING HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS FOR THE EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN MARINE AREAS AND WILL BE ISSUING STORM WARNINGS
FOR THE BAY OF FUNDY AND SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA MARINE
AREAS.

GALE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED TO MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE DISTRICT DURING SUBSEQUENT MARINE
FORECASTS.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS

A. ANALYSIS

SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION OVER
THE CENTRE OF KYLE. THERE CONTINUES TO BE ABOUT 20 KNOTS
OF WEST SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR OVER KYLE AND THIS HAS
LIMITED THE INTENSIFICATION. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
SHOULD BE SAMPLING THE STORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WE WILL
HAVE A BETTER IDEA ON THE STORM STRUCTURE LATER TODAY.

KYLE PASSED VERY CLOSE TO BUOY 41048 BETWEEN 13 AND 14Z.
THE MAXIMUM WINDS AT THE BUOY WERE 48 KNOTS AND THE HIGHEST
SIGNIFICANT WAVE WAS 7.0 METRES. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WERE RECORDED ON BERMUDA ISLAND SOME 300 TO 400 NM
EAST OF THE STORM CENTRE.

B. PROGNOSTIC

WE HAVE ADJUSTED THE TRACK BACK TO WEST BY 30-50 NM IN LINE
WITH THE NEW NHC GUIDANCE AND EARLY 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE. THERE
ARE STILL A COUPLE OF MODELS THAT TRACK KYLE INTO NOVA SCOTIA
BUT THE MORE RELIABLE MODELS INSIST ON LANDFALL IN EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN NEW BRUNSWICK. THIS FORECAST TRACK TAKES KYLE
AS A WEAKENING POST TROPICAL STORM THROUGH NEW BRUNSWICK AND
INTO THE GULF OF ST LAWRENCE MONDAY EVENING.

THERE STILL REMAINS SOME DIFFICULTY IN WHAT WILL EVENTUALLY
BE KYLE'S DEMISE IN EASTERN QUÉBEC OR LABRADOR. SOME MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGEST THE STORM WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER
LABRADOR ON TUESDAY.. WHILE OTHER MODELS TAKE A WEAKENING
STORM INTO THE LABRADOR SEA AND MERGE IT WITH A STRONGER
BAROCLINIC SYSTEM. WE HAVE CHOSEN TO REMAIN PERSISTENT AND
WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE KYLE OVER LABRADOR ON TUESDAY.

WE FOLLOWED THE NHC GUIDANCE WITH RESPECT TO THE INTENSITY
FORECAST. WE HAVE KEPT KYLE AS A 65 KNOT HURRICANE AS IT
TRAVERSES INTO THE BROWNS BANK MARINE AREA AND THAT IS JUST
ABOUT THE TIME THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO
BEGIN. THE TRANSITION SHOULD BE FAIRLY RAPID AND BY MONDAY
MORNING IT WILL BE POST TROPICAL IN CENTRAL NEW BRUNSWICK.

ON THE PROJECTED PATH KYLE WILL HAVE SPENT 12 OR MORE HOURS
OVER COLD WATERS AND SHOULD HAVE WEAKENED TO JUST BELOW
HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT ARRIVES ON THE NEW BRUNSWICK COAST
IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS MONDAY.


C. PUBLIC WEATHER

WITH OUR CHANGE IN TRACK AND INTENSITY THERE HAD TO BE SOME
ADJUSTMENT TO THE WARNINGS.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL STILL BE WEST OF THE STORM PATH
AND WITH THE FORWARD TRANSLATIONAL SPEED AMOUNTS COULD BE
UPWARDS TO 100 MM. THIS HEAVIEST RAIN COULD FALL IN A BRIEF
PERIOD OF TIME INCREASING THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING.
THIS RAIN IS ON TOP OF ANY AMOUNTS THAT FALL TODAY IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A FRONTAL ZONE MOVING THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

AS A RESULT OF KEEPING KYLE A HURRICANE UP TO THE POINT IT
REACHES BROWNS BANK.. AND THE FACT WE HAVE SHIFTED THE TRACK
WEST OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK.. WIND WARNINGS HAD TO BE
EXTENDED TO THE SOUTHWESTERN AREAS OF NEW BRUNSWICK ANYWHERE
NEAR AND EAST OF THE TRACK OF KYLE. WE WILL HAVE TO RAISE THE
WIND SPEED GUSTS TO 120 KM/H OVER SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA
TO MATCH THE HURRICANE STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM AS IT PASSES
BY WEST OF YARMOUTH AT 29/0300Z.

D. MARINE WEATHER

TRAPPED FETCH WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHTS COULD BE ON THE ORDER OF 6 TO 8 METRES ON THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA SUNDAY NIGHT. ON ITS CURRENT
TRACK KYLE WILL BE PASSING YARMOUTH AT ABOUT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE. RIGHT NOW THE MAIN CONCERN IS FOR YARMOUTH AND DIGBY
COUNTIES AS KYLE PASSES JUST AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. IF THE
TRACK CHANGES THEN OTHER AREAS MAY BE OF CONCERN AS WELL.

IN NEW BRUINSWICK KYLE WILL ARRIVE AS THE TIDE IS EBBING
AND HENCE STORM SURGE SHOULD NOT BE A MAJOR CONCERN AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER THERE COULD BE MINOR SHORELINE EROSION
DUE TO THE POUNDING SURF.

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
27/18Z 180 140 20 110 90 30 0 45 0 0 0 0
28/00Z 180 140 20 110 90 30 0 45 15 15 0 0
28/06Z 180 160 50 110 90 60 10 45 30 30 0 0
28/12Z 180 160 50 110 90 60 10 45 30 30 0 0
28/18Z 200 170 50 120 90 75 20 50 30 30 0 0
29/00Z 200 180 50 120 90 75 20 50 30 30 0 0
29/06Z 220 200 60 60 90 90 20 40 0 0 0 0
29/12Z 200 200 60 60 25 25 0 0 0 0 0 0
29/18Z 170 195 30 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
30/00Z 125 160 10 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
30/06Z 120 150 30 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
30/12Z 120 150 60 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
30/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

END NICKERSON/ROUSSEL