Saturday, October 12, 2019

Subtropical Storm Melissa Update Four

























000
WTNT34 KNHC 122033
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142019
500 PM AST Sat Oct 12 2019

...MELISSA MAKES A TRANSITION TO A TROPICAL STORM...
...SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES
TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.4N 65.6W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect.

For information on coastal flooding hazards, see products issued by
your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Melissa was
located near latitude 38.4 North, longitude 65.6 West.  Melissa is
moving toward the east-northeast at near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue with a gradual increase in
forward speed through Monday. On the forecast track, Melissa will
continue to move away from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New England
coasts.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected over the next day or so, and Melissa
is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
COASTAL FLOODING:  Minor to moderate coastal flooding will occur
along some portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and southeastern coast
through the rest of the weekend around times of high tide.

SURF:  Swells generated by Melissa are affecting much of the U.S.
east coast, portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada.
These swells will result in life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Latto

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