Monstrous Hurricane Teddy (Category One)

000

WTNT35 KNHC 222052

TCPAT5

BULLETIN

Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number  42

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202020

500 PM AST Tue Sep 22 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PARTS OF NEWFOUNDLAND...

...GINORMOUS TEDDY TO BRING DESTRUCTIVE WAVES, HEAVY RAIN AND

STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...41.1N 64.2W

ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA

ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM SSW OF PORT AUX BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Canadian Hurricane Centre has issued a Tropical Storm Warning

from Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove

* Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Meat Cove to Tidnish Nova Scotia

* North of Digby to Fort Lawrence Nova Scotia

* Magdalen Islands Quebec

* Prince Edward Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the

progress of Teddy.  Additional watches and/or warnings could be

required later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

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At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located

near latitude 41.1 North, longitude 64.2 West. Teddy is moving

toward the north near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn toward the 

north-northeast is expected by early Wednesday.  On the forecast

track, the center will move over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday,

and then near or over Newfoundland by Wednesday night, and be east

of Labrador on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher

gusts.  Although some weakening is likely tonight and Wednesday,

Teddy should be a strong post-tropical cyclone when it moves near

and over Nova Scotia.

Teddy is an extremely large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend 

outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center and 

tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 540 miles (870 km).

Buoy 44150, located about 90 n mi north of the center, recently

reported a significant wave height of 42 ft (13 m).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone

Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC

and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce

significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the

center makes landfall in Nova Scotia.  Near the coast, the surge

will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the

Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast

of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely

to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please

consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the Nova Scotia

warning area now. Tropical storm conditions could begin in the

watch areas tonight or early Wednesday.  Tropical storm conditions 

are expected to begin in the Newfoundland warning area on Wednesday 

afternoon.

RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall

accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals

of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada.

NEXT ADVISORY

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Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.

Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$

Forecaster Blake