Hurricane Kyle Update 6

000
WTNT31 KNHC 290233
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2008

...KYLE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT PASSES NOVA SCOTIA...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST
OF MAINE IS DISCONTINUED.

THE HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES OF DIGBY...
YARMOUTH...AND SHELBURNE IN SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA CANADA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW
BRUNSWICK OVERNIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 44.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...60
KM...SOUTH OF SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/HR. A MOTION TO
THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AT
A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED...TAKING THE REMNANTS OF KYLE OVER EASTERN
NEW BRUNSWICK TONIGHT.

ALTHOUGH KYLE IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE STRONG WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 INCH OR LESS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF MAINE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER NEW BRUNSWICK AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN
THE BAY OF FUNDY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES....WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NOVA
SCOTIA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...44.8 N...65.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

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000
WTNT41 KNHC 290235
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM KYLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
1100 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW LITTLE OR NO DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH KYLE...AND THE SYSTEM WAS UNCLASSIFIABLE USING THE
DVORAK TECHNIQUE. CONSEQUENTLY...KYLE IS CONSIDERED TO BE
EXTRATROPICAL AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. A QUIKSCAT PASS
AT 23Z SHOWED ONE HURRICANE FORCE WIND VECTOR. THE MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE ASSUMED TO HAVE DECREASED A BIT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND
ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KT. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER NEW BRUNSWICK.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/23...WHICH IS LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST OF KYLE IS BEING ERODED BY THE LARGE LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...AND AS A MID-LATITUDE SHORT WAVE
BYPASSES KYLE TO THE NORTH ITS FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO
SLOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE MODELS SEEM TO HAVE MISSED THE
MORE NORTHWARD TURN THIS EVENING...AND AS A RESULT I'VE PLACED THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...IN
BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE 18Z UKMET.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0300Z 44.8N 65.9W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 29/1200Z 47.2N 64.6W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 30/0000Z 49.5N 63.7W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 30/1200Z 50.6N 63.7W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 01/0000Z 51.5N 64.0W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN