Saturday, September 27, 2008

Hurricane Kyle: Inland Watches and Warnings

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
530 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2008

...HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH KYLE TO IMPACT DOWNEAST MAINE
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.RAIN FROM WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE SURGING NORTH AHEAD OF KYLE
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ANOTHER
SURGE OF HEAVY RAIN DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL SYSTEM
WILL IMPACT THE DOWNEAST REGION SUNDAY NIGHT.

MEZ011-015>017-029>032-280600-
/O.NEW.KCAR.FA.A.0006.080928T0000Z-080929T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-
CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LINCOLN...HOWLAND...SPRINGFIELD...
BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...
EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...
MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...
BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD...
DOVER-FOXCROFT...MILO...GUILFORD...DANFORTH...VANCEBORO...
TOPSFIELD
530 PM EDT SAT SEP 27 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL
MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
EAST CENTRAL MAINE...CENTRAL PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT.
IN NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS. IN SOUTHEAST
MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL HANCOCK...COASTAL
WASHINGTON...INTERIOR HANCOCK AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON.

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND
WITH THE STORM SUNDAY NIGHT...WILL GIVE A TOTAL RANGING FROM 4
INCHES WELL INLAND TO UP TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE IN THE RAIN WITH KYLE
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THIS IS WHEN HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS MAY OCCUR...AND
DURING A TIME WHEN THE GROUND WILL HAVE BEEN PREVIOUSLY
SATURATED FROM EARLIER RAINFALL.

* HIGH TIDES ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST ARE AROUND 10:45 AM SUNDAY
AND AGAIN AT 11:00 PM SUNDAY EVENING. THE HIGH TIDES COMBINED
WITH A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET AND RUNOFF MAY ADD TO FLOODING
POTENTIAL IN TIDAL RIVERS AND ESTUARIES...PARTICULARLY SUNDAY
NIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

BLOOMER/VJN

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fredericton and Southern York County
4:39 PM ADT Saturday 27 September 2008
Rainfall warning for
Fredericton and Southern York County continued

Rainfall amounts over 50 millimetres are expected in these regions over the next 24-48 hours.

Tropical storm Kyle is currently west of Bermuda and is expected to reach hurricane strength as it moves northward. Kyle is forecast to track just west of Saint John New Brunswick after midnight Sunday night. It will continue northward over southeastern New Brunswick and reach Anticosti Island by Monday evening.

Rain associated with a non-related frontal system will affect most of the province tonight into Sunday. Rainfall amounts of 15 to 25 mm or more are likely tonight and during the day Sunday. As Kyle moves across southeastern New Brunswick Sunday night through Monday it will be accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds. The heaviest rainfall is forecast to occur west of Kyle's track Sunday night while the strongest winds will occur east of the track.

Current indications are that by Monday morning the weekend rainfall tally should range somewhere between 50 and 100 millimetres for most areas..Although higher amounts are possible over the southern half of the province. Emo New Brunswick reminds the public that rainfall in these amounts in a short period of time can result in rapid increase in water levels in streams and rivers and localized flash flooding.

The strong winds associated with Kyle are forecast to reach sustained values of 65 km/h or more with gusts of 90 to 110 km/h near the Fundy coast. These same winds speeds in similar events in the past have caused significant tree damage that has resulted in downed power lines and damage to structures due to falling branches or trees. All preparations to secure loose objects should be completed by Sunday afternoon.

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