Tropical Storm Earl Over PEI Update 5

ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010
 
LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE EARL HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 35 KNOTS PRODUCING SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THE
CYCLONE IS BECOMING A LITTLE BIT ASYMMETRIC AND THE WIND FIELD IS
EXPANDING...BUT THERE IS PLENTY OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE
CENTER FOR SUCH A HIGH LATITUDE CYCLONE. THIS MEANS THAT EARL STILL
IS RETAINING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.  THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE AND
BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TONIGHT.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      04/2100Z 47.5N  62.2W    60 KT
 12HR VT     05/0600Z 52.0N  58.5W    45 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24HR VT     05/1800Z 55.0N  55.0W    40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36HR VT     06/0600Z 55.7N  51.0W    40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48HR VT     06/1800Z 57.0N  51.0W    35 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72HR VT     07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
NNNN

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL072010
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010
 
...LARGE TROPICAL STORM EARL OVER THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.5N 62.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WNW OF THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS QUEBEC 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BURGEO WESTWARD TO BOAT HARBOUR NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM PORTERS LAKE TO POINT TUPPER...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO MARGARETSVILLE...MEDWAY HARBOUR
TO POINT TUPPER...AND TIDNISH TO BRULE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM POINT TUPPER AROUND CAPE BRETON TO BRULE
* THE EASTERN PORTION OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND FROM VICTORIA TO LOWER
DARNLEY
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM BURGEO WESTWARD TO BOAT HARBOUR
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR. THIS
MOTION WILL BRING EARL ACROSS THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE AND
NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  EARL IS FORECAST TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING OVER EASTERN
NOVA SCOTIA AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD
OVER WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT.
 
RAINFALL...RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH EARL SHOULD DECREASE TONIGHT OVER
THE REGION.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE
 
NNNN

---