Monday, August 26, 2019

Record Low Temperatures set in New Brunswick & Prince Edward Island - 08/26/2019

Weather summary
for New Brunswick
issued by Environment Canada
at 3:25 a.m. ADT Monday 26 August 2019.

Discussion.

The following area set a daily minimum temperature record on August
25, 2019:

Miscou Island Area (Miscou Island (AUT))
New record of 7.1
Old record of 8.0 set in 2013
Records in this area have been kept since 1957

Note: the temperature record reported here has been derived from a
selection of historical stations in this geographic area that were
active during the period of record.

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

End/ASPC

Weather summary
for Prince Edward Island
issued by Environment Canada
at 3:26 a.m. ADT Monday 26 August 2019.

Discussion.

The following area set a daily minimum temperature record on August
25, 2019:

Summerside Area (Summerside)
New record of 6.5
Old record of 6.7 set in 1913
Records in this area have been kept since 1898

Note: the temperature record reported here has been derived from a
selection of historical stations in this geographic area that were
active during the period of record.

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

End/ASPC

Surprise Eastern Maritimes Storm Update Two



















Tropical Depression Number Six forms, is a Potential Threat to the Region


248
WTNT41 KNHC 262038
TCDAT1

Tropical Depression Six Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062019
500 PM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019

The circulation associated with the area of low pressure that has
been tracked across the western Atlantic the past several days has
become better defined during the past 24 hours.  The associated
convection, which is located well to the southeast of the low-level
center due to shear, has also become more persistent and organized
into a band today.  As a result, advisories are being initiated on a
tropical depression.  The initial wind speed has been set at 30 kt,
based on earlier ASCAT data.  There were a few 35-kt vectors in the
ASCAT-A overpass but those data appeared to be rain-inflated.

The depression is currently located over warm water but within an
environment of moderate westerly shear, which is likely to continue
during the next day or so.  Although some slight strengthening is
forecast, the shear is likely to prohibit significant deepening
during that time.  After 36 h, the shear is forecast to decrease
while the system moves northeastward and some modest strengthening
is anticipated.  Later in the period, an approaching mid-latitude
trough may also help to strengthen the cyclone due to baroclinic
processes, and the system is forecast to become extratropical in
3 to 4 days, and should be absorbed by a larger extratropical
cyclone by day 5.

The initial motion estimate is a somewhat uncertain 080/2 kt.  The
depression is forecast to drift eastward or northeastward during
the next day or so as it remains in an area of weak steering flow
between a couple of mid-level anticyclones. As the aforementioned
mid-latitude trough approaches the northeastern United States on
Wednesday, it should cause the cyclone to accelerate northeastward
well east of the east coast of the United States.  The track
guidance is in relatively good agreement, but there are some
differences in how fast it will be ejected northeastward.  The NHC
track forecast leans toward the slower ECMWF solution during the
first day or so, then closer to the consensus aids later in the
period.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  26/2100Z 31.7N  72.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  27/0600Z 31.8N  72.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  27/1800Z 32.1N  71.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  28/0600Z 32.9N  71.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 48H  28/1800Z 34.6N  71.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 72H  29/1800Z 40.3N  66.8W   45 KT  50 MPH
 96H  30/1800Z 47.0N  60.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

Surprise Eastern Maritimes Storm Update One





















Summerside Area (Summerside)
New record of 6.5
Old record of 6.7 set in 1913
Records in this area have been kept since 1898

Note: the temperature record reported here has been derived from a
selection of historical stations in this geographic area that were
active during the period of record.

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

End/ASPC

3:32 PM ADT Monday 26 August 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Kings County P.E.I.
Significant rainfall to affect eastern Prince Edward Island tonight and Tuesday.

A low pressure system south of Nova Scotia is expected to intensify as it tracks northward toward the region tonight and track just east of Cape Breton Island Tuesday morning.

Rain will likely reach the Island this evening, and will persist over parts of Kings counties on Tuesday. Latest indications are that the heaviest rainfall will occur east of the Island, however easternmost portions of Kings County may receive amounts exceeding 30 mm.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to PEstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #PEStorm.

Surprise Eastern Maritimes Storm






















10:32 AM ADT Monday 26 August 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Halifax County - east of Porters Lake
Significant rainfall to affect eastern mainland Nova Scotia and Cape Breton tonight and Tuesday.

A low pressure system is developing this morning well to the south of Nova Scotia. This low is expected to intensify as it tracks northward toward the province tonight and track just east of Cape Breton Island Tuesday morning.

Rain will reach the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia later this afternoon and then spread to the remainder of the province this evening. Rain will persist over the eastern half of the province on Tuesday. Latest indications are that the heaviest rainfall should occur over eastern Nova Scotia and Cape Breton, where amounts in excess of 40 mm are expected by late Tuesday. Should the system intensify more than currently expected, rainfall warnings may yet be required for these regions.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.