Friday, January 18, 2019

Winter Storm Harper Update Two





















Winter Storm Harper Update One


















URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Caribou ME
351 PM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

MEZ002-004>006-010-191000-
/O.UPG.KCAR.WS.A.0002.190120T0600Z-190121T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.WS.W.0002.190120T0400Z-190121T1800Z/
/O.CON.KCAR.WC.Y.0005.190119T0600Z-190119T1900Z/
Northeast Aroostook-Northern Piscataquis-Northern Penobscot-
Southeast Aroostook-Central Piscataquis-
Including the cities of Presque Isle, Caribou, Van Buren,
Mars Hill, Baxter St Park, Chamberlain Lake, Churchill Dam,
Mount Katahdin, Millinocket, East Millinocket, Patten, Medway,
Houlton, Hodgdon, Sherman, Smyrna Mills, Greenville, Monson,
and Blanchard
351 PM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 2 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and very cold wind chills expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 16 to 24 inches expected. Wind chills as low as
  30 below zero expected late tonight through early Saturday.

* WHERE...Northeast Aroostook, Northern Piscataquis, Northern
  Penobscot, Southeast Aroostook and Central Piscataquis
  Counties.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 11 PM Saturday to 1
  PM EST Monday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 1 AM to 2 PM
  EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult to
  impossible Sunday. Areas of blowing snow could significantly
  reduce visibility and cause hazardous travel. The dangerously
  cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as
  little as 10 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

The latest road conditions for Maine can be obtained by going to
newengland511.org.

&&
$$

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Gray ME
347 PM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING...

Strong southeast flow associated with low pressure passing to our
south and east will combine with high astronomical tides and high
waves to bring water levels to around flood stage Sunday morning
along the New Hampshire coast, and Maine coast from Casco Bay
south to Kittery.


MEZ023-024-NHZ014-190930-
/O.NEW.KGYX.CF.A.0001.190120T1300Z-190120T1800Z/
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Coastal Rockingham-
347 PM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Gray has issued a Coastal Flood
Watch, which is in effect from Sunday morning through Sunday
afternoon.

* TIMING...From Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon.

* Impacts...Minor to Moderate coastal flooding, splash over and
  beach erosion.

* Location...New Hampshire and southwest Maine coast.

* Coastal Flooding...Some inundation of low lying areas near the
  shoreline is possible, along with splash over and beach erosion.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Watch means that conditions favorable for
flooding are expected to develop. Coastal residents should be
alert for later statements or warnings...and take action to
protect property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

FORT POINT NH
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 11.5 FT, MODERATE 12.5 FT, MAJOR 13.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 18/09 PM     8.6       -0.9        0.2       2.0      NONE
 19/09 AM    10.4        0.9        0.3       2.0      NONE
 19/10 PM     9.3       -0.2        0.4       4.0      NONE
 20/10 AM    12.2        2.7        1.6       10.0    MINOR
 20/10 PM     9.5        0.0        0.3       7.0      NONE
 21/11 AM    11.3        1.8        0.3       4.0      NONE

HAMPTON HARBOR NH
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 11.0 FT, MODERATE 12.0 FT, MAJOR 13.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 18/09 PM     8.3       -1.2        0.2       2.0      NONE
 19/09 AM    10.0        0.5        0.3       2.0      NONE
 19/10 PM     9.0       -0.5        0.5       4.0      NONE
 20/10 AM    11.8        2.3        1.6       10.0    MINOR
 20/11 PM     9.2       -0.3        0.3       6.0      NONE
 21/11 AM    10.8        1.3        0.3       4.0      NONE

PORTLAND ME
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 12.0 FT, MODERATE 13.0 FT, MAJOR 14.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 18/09 PM     8.8       -0.9        0.2       2.0      NONE
 19/09 AM    10.7        1.0        0.3       1.0      NONE
 19/10 PM     9.4       -0.3        0.3       3.0      NONE
 20/10 AM    12.6        2.9        1.7       6.0     MINOR
 20/10 PM     9.7       -0.0        0.3       5.0      NONE
 21/11 AM    11.5        1.8        0.3       3.0      NONE

&&
$$

3:48 PM AST Friday 18 January 2019
Winter storm watch in effect for:

Queens County P.E.I.
An intense low pressure system will approach from the southwest Sunday night and will pass over or near the Island overnight Sunday and into early Monday. Snow will develop well ahead of the system and change through freezing rain and ice pellets to rain Sunday night. Current indications suggest near 15 cm of snowfall before the changeover. Additionally strengthening easterly winds will give blowing snow Sunday afternoon.

Rapidly accumulating snow could make travel difficult over some locations. Visibility may be suddenly reduced at times in heavy snow.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to PEstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #PEStorm.

3:46 PM AST Friday 18 January 2019
Winter storm watch in effect for:

Fredericton and Southern York County
An intense low pressure system will approach from the southwest Sunday night and will pass over or near the Bay of Fundy overnight Sunday and into early Monday. Snow will develop well ahead of the system and change through freezing rain and ice pellets to rain Sunday night across southern portions of the province, where there is also a threat for an extended period of freezing rain. Also, heavy rainfall is possible near the Fundy Coast Sunday night which could lead to localized flooding. Rainfall warnings for those areas may be required at a later time. Total snowfall amounts will range from 20 cm in the far south of the province to as much as 50 cm across northeastern regions. Additionally, strengthening easterly winds winds will give blowing snow Sunday afternoon and persisting through the night across central and northeastern areas.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NBstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NBStorm.

Winter Storm Harper


















URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Caribou ME
1054 AM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

MEZ001>006-010-182130-
/O.CON.KCAR.WC.Y.0005.190119T0600Z-190119T1900Z/
/O.CON.KCAR.WS.A.0002.190120T0600Z-190121T1200Z/
Northwest Aroostook-Northeast Aroostook-Northern Somerset-
Northern Piscataquis-Northern Penobscot-Southeast Aroostook-
Central Piscataquis-
Including the cities of Allagash, Clayton Lake, Madawaska,
Fort Kent, Frenchville, Presque Isle, Caribou, Van Buren,
Mars Hill, Baker Lake, Billy-Jack Depot, Baxter St Park,
Chamberlain Lake, Churchill Dam, Mount Katahdin, Millinocket,
East Millinocket, Patten, Medway, Houlton, Hodgdon, Sherman,
Smyrna Mills, Greenville, Monson, and Blanchard
1054 AM EST Fri Jan 18 2019

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 2 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Heavy snow possible.
  Wind chills as low as 30 below zero expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 10 to 20 inches possible.

* WHERE...Northeast Aroostook, Northern Somerset, Northwest
  Aroostook, Southeast Aroostook, Northern Piscataquis, Northern
  Penobscot and Central Piscataquis Counties.

* WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 1 AM to 2 PM EST
  Saturday. For the Winter Storm Watch, from late Saturday night
  through Monday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult Sunday and
  Sunday night to impossible with snowfall ranging from 10 inches
  North to 20 inches Central portions of the area. Patchy blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility and cause localized
  hazardous travel. Power outages are possible. The cold wind
  chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30
  minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frostbite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&
$$

10:54 AM AST Friday 18 January 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Halifax Metro and Halifax County West
Winter storm expected to bring major impacts to the region Sunday and into Monday.

A low pressure system will approach the region from the southwest on Sunday and track across the Gulf of St. Lawrence early Monday as a large winter storm. All indications show a major snowfall event for areas north of the track of the low, a major rainfall event south of the track of the low, and significant amounts of snow, rain and an extended period of freezing rain near the track of the low. The precipitation will be accompanied by very strong east to northeast winds ahead of the low's track, shifting to very strong southerly winds south of its track.

Current indications suggest that the storm will track through the Bay of Fundy Sunday evening and then into the Gulf of St. Lawrence overnight. This track could give snowfall amounts of 10-20 cm and rainfall amounts of 25-60 mm. The highest snowfall amounts will likely be over the Cumberland region of northern Nova Scotia. It should be noted that even a slight shift in its forecast track will have major effects on the type and amount of precipitation received.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.

10:51 AM AST Friday 18 January 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Fredericton and Southern York County
Winter storm expected to bring major impacts to the region Sunday and into Monday.

A low pressure system will approach the region from the southwest on Sunday and track across the Gulf of St. Lawrence early Monday as a large winter storm. All indications show a major snowfall event for areas north of the track of the low and significant amounts of snow, rain and an extended period of freezing rain near the track of the low. The precipitation will be accompanied by very strong east to northeast winds.

Current indications suggest that the storm will track through the Bay of Fundy Sunday evening and then into the Gulf of St. Lawrence overnight. This track could give widespread snowfall amounts of 20-60 cm. Rainfall amounts of 10-30 mm are possible over extreme southern regions of the province. Additionally an extended period of freezing rain is possible for areas in southern New Brunswick. It should be noted that even a slight shift in its forecast track will have major effects on the type and amount of precipitation received.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NBstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NBStorm.

10:48 AM AST Friday 18 January 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Queens County P.E.I.
Winter storm expected to bring major impacts to the region Sunday and into Monday.

A low pressure system will approach the region from the southwest on Sunday and track across the Gulf of St. Lawrence early Monday as a large winter storm. All indications show a major snowfall event for areas north of the track of the low, a major rainfall event south of the track of the low, and significant amounts of snow, rain and an extended period of freezing rain near the track of the low. The precipitation will be accompanied by very strong east to northeast winds ahead of the low's track, shifting to very strong southerly winds south of its track.

Current indications suggest that the storm will track through the Bay of Fundy Sunday evening and then into the Gulf of St. Lawrence overnight. This track could give snowfall amounts of 20-40 cm and rainfall amounts of 20-40 mm. It should be noted that even a slight shift in its forecast track will have major effects on the type and amount of precipitation received.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to PEstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #PEStorm.