Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Late September Rainstorm with a possible Subtropical Connection Update One





















Late September Rainstorm with a possible Subtropical Connection



















10:51 AM ADT Tuesday 25 September 2018
Special weather statement in effect for:

Fredericton and Southern York County
Potential for significant rainfall.

A low pressure system approaching from the Great Lakes will bring rain to New Brunswick tonight through Wednesday, ending Thursday morning. There is a chance rainfall amounts could reach warning levels (50 mm in 24 hours), mainly for southern New Brunswick, with a lesser risk for western areas.

At this time due to variations in the system's expected track and intensity, uncertainty remains regarding detailed rainfall amounts and the areas most likely to be impacted.

Please continue to monitor ECCC forecasts as warnings may be required.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NBstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NBStorm.

10:51 AM ADT Tuesday 25 September 2018
Special weather statement in effect for:

Halifax Metro and Halifax County West
Potential for significant rainfall.

A low pressure system approaching from the Great Lakes will bring rain to Nova Scotia overnight tonight through Wednesday, ending by Thursday afternoon. There is a chance rainfall amounts could reach or exceed warning levels (50 mm in 24 hours), mainly for western mainland Nova Scotia and areas along the mainland's Atlantic Coast.

At this time due to variations in the system's expected track and intensity, uncertainty remain regarding detailed rainfall amounts and the areas most likely to be impacted.

Please continue to monitor ECCC forecasts as warnings may be required.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 25 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, located a little more than 1000 miles
west-southwest of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of Cape
Hatteras, North Carolina, continues to produce disorganized showers
and a few thunderstorms.  Satellite and surface data indicate that
the circulation of the low remains elongated and not well defined.
However, this system could still become a tropical depression this
afternoon or tonight while it moves slowly northwestward to
northward.  By Wednesday, additional development appears unlikely
due to strong upper-level winds while the system moves northward and
north-northeastward near the eastern United States coast.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the system later this afternoon.  Regardless of development, this
system is likely to bring scattered showers and thunderstorms across
portions of northeastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina
this afternoon and tonight.  In addition, dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents are expected along portions of the North Carolina
coast today.  For more information, please see products from your
local National Weather Service office.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.....

....Forecaster Pasch

New Daily Minimum Temperature Records set throughout the Maritimes - 09/24/2018

Weather summary
for New Brunswick
issued by Environment Canada
at 3:17 a.m. ADT Tuesday 25 September 2018.

Discussion.

The following stations set a daily minimum temperature record on
September 24, 2018:

Bas Caraquet
New record of -2.1
Old record of 0.6 set in 2008
Records in this area have been kept since 1964

Bathurst
New record of -3.0
Old record of -2.8 set in 1928
Records in this area have been kept since 1872

Bouctouche
New record of -1.7
Old record of -0.8 set in 1992
Records in this area have been kept since 1965

Edmundston
New record of -6.6
Old record of -4.5 set in 1992
Records in this area have been kept since 1918

Grand Manan
New record of -3.3
Old record of -2.0 set in 1995
Records in this area have been kept since 1883

Kouchibouguac Nat'l Park
New record of -3.2
Old record of -2.8 set in 1947
Records in this area have been kept since 1924

Woodstock
New record of -4.8
Old record of -4.0 set in 1992
Records in this area have been kept since 1886

Note: the temperature records reported here have been derived from a
selection of historical stations in each geographic area that were
active during the period of record.

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

End/ASPC

Weather summary
for Nova Scotia
issued by Environment Canada
at 3:18 a.m. ADT Tuesday 25 September 2018.

Discussion.

The following station set a daily minimum temperature record on
September 24, 2018:

Parrsboro
New record of -3.0
Old record of -1.7 set in 1899
Records in this area have been kept since 1897

Note: the temperature record reported here has been derived from a
selection of historical stations in this geographic area that were
active during the period of record.

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

End/ASPC

Weather summary
for Prince Edward Island
issued by Environment Canada
at 3:19 a.m. ADT Tuesday 25 September 2018.

Discussion.

The following stations set a daily minimum temperature record on
September 24, 2018:

Charlottetown
New record of -1.0
Old record of 0.6 set in 1973
Records in this area have been kept since 1872

Summerside
New record of 0.3
Old record of 0.6 set in 1899
Records in this area have been kept since 1898

Note: the temperature records reported here have been derived from a
selection of historical stations in each geographic area that were
active during the period of record.

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

End/ASPC