000
AXUS71 KCAR 221955
DGTCAR
MEC003-009-019-021-029-292000-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
355 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2020
SYNOPSIS...
RECENT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EVENTS ON OCTOBER 13TH AND 14TH
PRODUCED 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 4 INCHES
ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. A SECOND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EVENT
FOLLOWED ON OCTOBER 16TH INTO THE 17TH AND PRODUCED ANOTHER
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES.
THE RECENT MODERATE TO HEAVY EVENTS COMBINED WITH PREVIOUS
RAINFALL THIS MONTH HAVE MADE SIGNIFICANT ONE TO TWO CATEGORY
IMPROVEMENTS IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. ALL OF
NORTHERN AND EASTERN MAINE IS NOW CLASSIFIED AS BEING IN MODERATE
DROUGHT (D1). THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS COASTAL AND SOUTHWEST HANCOCK
COUNTY WHICH REMAINS IN SEVERE DROUGHT (D2)
PRECIPITATION DURING THE PAST 30 DAYS HAS BEEN HIGHLY VARIABLE
ACROSS THE REGION RANGING FROM 200 TO 300 PERCENT OF NORMAL FROM
THE KATAHDIN REGION NORTH AND GENERALLY FROM 90 TO 130 PERCENT OF
NORMAL TO THE SOUTH OF THE KATAHDIN REGION. DURING THE PAST 90
DAYS, PRECIPITATION HAS RANGED FROM 100 TO 130 PERCENT OF NORMAL
ACROSS NORTHWEST MAINE, AND FROM 70 TO 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL
ELSEWHERE. DUE TO THE NATURE OF PRECIPITATION THERE ARE SOME LOCAL
SPOTS THAT HAVE OBSERVED EITHER MORE OR LESS PRECIPITATION THAN
NOTED ABOVE.
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
AVERAGE 7 AND 14 DAY STREAMFLOWS ARE NOW ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS AND 40 TO 80 PERCENT OF NORMAL DOWNEAST. MAJOR
RIVERS HAVE SEEN SIGNIFICANT RISES AND FLOW HAS INCREASED
DRAMATICALLY, AND IS NOW RUNNING FROM 300 TO 400 PERCENT OF
NORMAL FLOW FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IN THE NORTH AND 100 TO 250
PERCENT OF NORMAL FLOW IN THE SOUTH. THIS HAS BEEN A RAPID AND
DRAMATIC CHANGE AFTER RECORD LOW FLOWS WERE OBSERVED AS RECENTLY
AS JUST A FEW WEEKS AGO.
CROPS DID SUFFER LOSSES THIS YEAR, BUT NOW THAT THE HARVEST IS
EITHER COMPLETE OR NEARLY COMPLETE THERE SHOULD NOT BE ANY
SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS. WATER LEVELS HAVE INCREASED
SIGNIFICANTLY AND THIS SHOULD HELP TO MITIGATE ANY EARLIER IMPACTS
DUE TO LOW WATER LEVELS.
CLIMATE SUMMARY...6.61" OF RAIN HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN CARIBOU THIS
MONTH AS OF OCTOBER 22ND, WHICH MAKES IT THE 3RD WETTEST OCTOBER
ON RECORD SINCE 1939. MORE RAIN HAS BEEN OBSERVED THIS OCTOBER
THAN DURING THE 3 MONTH PERIOD FROM JUNE THROUGH AUGUST. 3.98" OF
RAIN HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN BANGOR, WHICH IS MORE THAN AN INCH ABOVE
AVERAGE.
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH
SATURDAY, AND BELOW AVERAGE SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THERE WILL BE ADDITIONAL CHANCES OF RAIN (AND WET SNOW)
DURING THE NEXT WEEK.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...AVERAGE SEVEN DAY STREAM FLOW
HAS IMPROVED TO ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. STREAM FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO REMAIN NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE
NEXT WEEK DUE TO EXPECTED RAINFALL. RIVER LEVELS HAVE IMPROVED
SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST WEEK ARE NOW ABOVE NORMAL AND WILL
CONTINUE TO REMAIN NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT WEEK.
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON OCTOBER 29TH OR SOONER IF
NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.
&&
RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES...
US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
NORTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.NRCC.CORNELL.EDU
ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV
US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL
INFORMATION...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...
STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
810 MAIN ST
CARIBOU ME 04736
PHONE...207-492-0180
CARWEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV
$$
