Sunday, October 02, 2011

Hurricane Ophelia and The Extratropical Cyclone Update Six






WOCN31 CWHX 022345
Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian
Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada at 8:55 PM ADT Sunday
2 October 2011.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical cyclone information statement for:
      Newfoundland
      Nova Scotia.

      For hurricane Ophelia.

      The next statement will be issued by 3:00 AM ADT.

      Hurricane Ophelia beginning to turn toward the northeast -
      Expected to track near the Avalon Peninsula Monday morning as a
      Strong post-tropical storm.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
==discussion==
1. Summary of basic information at 9:00 PM ADT.

Location: near 43.3 north 58.8 west.
About 120 kilometres southeast of Sable Island.
Maximum sustained winds: near 148 km/hour.
Present movement: north-northeast at 52 km/hour.
Minimum central pressure: 970 MB.

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Avalon Peninsula.
Rainfall warnings are in effect for Southeastern Newfoundland.

Ophelia has begun to weaken as it moves toward an environment that
will lead to further rapid weakening.  A frontal zone from Southern
Newfoundland to south of Yarmouth will drift northward tonight with
occasional downpours associated with it.  Rain from Ophelia will
reach Cape Breton tonight then affect Southeastern Newfoundland
Monday morning.

Computer models are still showing different scenarios for Ophelia's
track - ranging from Placentia Bay in Newfoundland to 100 kilometres
south of the Avalon.

A. Wind.

The greatest chance for strong winds from Ophelia is over
Southeastern Newfoundland.  There is about a 70% chance of tropical
storm force winds over the Avalon Peninsula, hence the tropical storm
watch has been maintained.  Tropical storm force winds are
approximately 60 gusting to 90 km/h.  Chance of hurricane-force gusts
(120 km/h) in this area remains low at 20% mainly because the maximum
winds should remain offshore.

B. Rainfall.

Rainfall warnings have been issued for Southeastern Newfoundland.

The afore-mentioned frontal system over the Maritimes could tap in to
some of Ophelia's moisture tonight and into Monday giving a good
possibility of heavy rainfall over Eastern Nova Scotia especially
Cape Breton.  Rainfall directly from Ophelia is expected over Eastern
Newfoundland beginning early Monday morning.  Expect a 4 to 6 hour
period of heavy rainfall over these regions Monday morning.  40 to 60
millimetres with locally up to 75 millimetres is possible with
rainfall rates up to 20 millimetres/hour.

C. Surge/waves.

Waves will be a concern along the South Coast of Newfoundland Monday.
A range of 5 to 7 metres is likely along the South Coast of
Newfoundland - Fortune bay and east.  Ocean swell will also begin to
reach the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia tonight and Monday.
Incident swell height of 3 metres breaking in the 4-metre (10-14
foot) range is possible late tonight along the Atlantic coast of Nova
Scotia.  With regard to storm surge, 40 to 60 cm is possible Monday
morning around the Avalon and Burin peninsulas.  Since high tides
will occur early in the afternoon and the storm is forecast to pass
the Avalon in the morning this should not pose significant problems,
but a slower storm speed or a more northerly track would increase
surge levels.

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

Hurricane force wind warnings are in effect for southeastern
Maritimes marine areas near and to the right of Ophelia's track.
Gale or storm warnings are in effect for adjacent areas and portions
of the Grand Banks and Eastern Newfoundland waters.  Ophelia's wind
field is relatively compact with its strongest winds confined very
close to its center but will expand away from storm centre on the
south side as it approaches Newfoundland.

Large waves are expected in the offshore - especially to the right
(southeast) and close to Ophelia's track as it moves into Canadian
waters.  Greatest threat for large waves is over Laurentian Fan and
Grand Banks where wave heights of 8 to 10 metres or more are
possible.

Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the
latest:

- forecast position, central pressure table.
- strength and predicted wind radii table.
- hurricane track information map.
- technical discussion.

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings
issued by Environment Canada for your area.

END/COUTURIER/FOGARTY/MERCER/HATT
000
WTNT31 KNHC 022343
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  41A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...OPHELIA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES QUICKLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...

..AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE
NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON
PENINSULA. OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
SHORTLY AFTER PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
260 MILES...415 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENT
CANADA BUOY 44141...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...86 KM/H.
SABLE ISLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH...63 KM/H.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

Hurricane Ophelia and The Extratropical Cyclone Update Five












000
WTNT31 KNHC 022042
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...CENTER OF OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY...

..AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST
THROUGH MONDAY.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA. OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHORTLY AFTER PASSING
SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
MILES...415 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

Hurricane Ophelia and The Extratropical Cyclone Update Four








Bonavista Peninsula
3:41 PM NDT Sunday 02 October 2011
Rainfall warning for
Bonavista Peninsula continued

Rain at times heavy associated with Ophelia is expected to develop overnight with up to 60 millimeters expected by Monday afternoon.

This is a warning that significant rainfall is expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.

Hurricane Ophelia is forecast to transition to a post-tropical storm as it tracks south of the Avalon Peninsula early Monday morning. Ophelia will then cross the Northern Grand Banks and move out to sea Monday afternoon. This system is expected to give rain at times heavy to eastern and Southern Newfoundland starting overnight tonight with accumulations of up to 60 millimeters expected by Monday afternoon. Given the close range of hurricane Ophelia's track to the Avalon Peninsula Monday morning, a tropical storm watch remains in effect for that region which means that there is a possibility of tropical storm force winds (60 gusting to 90 km/h) from Ophelia.

Additionally, large waves and pounding surf are expected to impact the South Coast of Newfoundland with this system with the largest waves arriving near noon Monday.
000
WTNT31 KNHC 021746
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  40A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...OPHELIA MOVING FASTER AS IT HEADS TOWARD SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.....

...AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.3 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS
FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA.
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHORTLY AFTER
PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

WOCN31 CWHX 021745
Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian
Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada at 2:53 PM ADT Sunday
2 October 2011.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical cyclone information statement for:
      Newfoundland
      Nova Scotia.

      For hurricane Ophelia.

      The next statement will be issued by 9:00 PM ADT.

      Hurricane Ophelia beginning to turn toward the northeast -
      Expected to track near the Avalon Peninsula Monday morning as a
      Strong post-tropical storm.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
==discussion==
1. Summary of basic information at 3:00 PM ADT.
Location: near 39.9 north 60.5 west.
About 450 kilometres south of Sable Island.
Maximum sustained winds: near 175 km/hour.
Present movement: north-northeast at 50 km/hour.
Minimum central pressure: 964 MB.

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Avalon Peninsula.
Rainfall warnings are in effect for Southeastern Newfoundland.

Ophelia has begun to weaken as it moves toward an environment that
will lead to rapid weakening. A frontal zone from Southern
Newfoundland to south of Yarmouth will drift northward tonight with
occasional downpours associated with it. Rain from Ophelia may reach
Cape Breton tonight then affect Southeastern Newfoundland Monday
morning.

Computer models are still showing different scenarios for Ophelia's
track - ranging from the Burin Peninsula in Newfoundland to 100
kilometres south of the Avalon.

A. Wind.

Greatest chance for strong winds from Ophelia is over Southeastern
Newfoundland.  There is about a 70% chance of tropical storm
Force winds over the Avalon Peninsula, hence the tropical storm watch
has been maintained. Tropical storm force winds are approximately 60
gusting to 90 km/h. Chance of hurricane-force gusts (120 km/h) in
this area remains low at 5-10%.

B. Rainfall.

Rainfall warnings have been issued for Southeastern Newfoundland.

The fore-mentionned frontal system over the Maritimes could tap in
To some of Ophelia's moisture tonight and into Monday giving the
possibility of heavy rainfall over Eastern Nova Scotia especially
Cape Breton. Rainfall directly from Ophelia is expected over Eastern
Newfoundland beginning early Monday morning.  Expect a 4 to 6 hour
period of heavy rainfall over these regions Monday morning.  40 to
60 millimetres with locally up to 75 millimetres is possible with
rainfall rates up to 20 millimetres/hour.

C. Surge/waves.

Waves will be a concern along the South Coast of Newfoundland Monday.
A range of 5 to 7 metres is likely along the South Coast of
Newfoundland - Fortune bay and east.  Ocean swell will also begin
To reach the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia tonight and Monday.
Incident swell height of 3 metres breaking in the 4-metre
(10-14-foot) range is possible late tonight along the Atlantic coast
of Nova Scotia.  With regard to storm surge, 40 to 60 cm is possible
Monday morning around the Avalon and Burin peninsulas. This should
not pose significant problems but a farther-north track would
necessitate an increase in forecast water levels.  The centre of
post-tropical Ophelia is forecast to arrive before the early
afternoon high tide.

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

Hurricane force wind warnings are in effect for southeastern
Maritimes marine areas near and to the right of Ophelia's track.
Gale or storm warnings are in effect for adjacent areas and portions
of the Grand Banks and Eastern Newfoundland waters. Ophelia's wind
field is relatively compact with its strongest winds confined
Very close to its center.

Large waves are expected in the offshore - especially to the right
(southeast) and close to Ophelia's track as it moves into Canadian
waters.  Greatest threat for large waves is over Laurentian Fan and
Grand Banks where wave heights of 10 metres or more are possible.

Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the
latest:

- forecast position, central pressure table.
- strength and predicted wind radii table.
- hurricane track information map.
- technical discussion.

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings
issued by Environment Canada for your area.

END/COUTURIER/FOGARTY

Hurricane Ophelia and The Extratropical Cyclone Update Three








000
WTNT31 KNHC 021444
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...OPHELIA WEAKENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...

...AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH...50 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON
MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED
TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS
FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA.
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHORTLY AFTER
PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

Major (Category 3) Hurricane Ophelia and The Extratropical Cyclone Update Two

















Avalon Peninsula South
10:47 AM NDT Sunday 02 October 2011
Rainfall warning for
Avalon Peninsula South continued

Rain at times heavy associated with Ophelia is expected to develop overnight with up to 60 millimeters expected by Monday afternoon.

This is a warning that significant rainfall is expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.

Hurricane Ophelia is forecast to transition to a post-tropical storm as it tracks south of the Avalon Peninsula early Monday morning. Ophelia will then cross the Northern Grand Banks and move out to sea Monday afternoon. This system is expected to give rain at times heavy to eastern and Southern Newfoundland starting overnight tonight with accumulations of up to 60 millimeters expected by Monday afternoon. Given the close range of hurricane Ophelia's track to the Avalon Peninsula Monday morning, a tropical storm watch has been issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre for that region. This means that there is a possibility of tropical storm force winds (60 gusting to 90 km/h) from Ophelia.

Additionally, large waves and pounding surf are expected to impact the South Coast of Newfoundland with this system with the largest waves arriving near noon Monday.
000
WTNT31 KNHC 021146
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  39A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011

...OPHELIA TURNS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...
....AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.
HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA ON MONDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

WOCN31 CWHX 021145
Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian
Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada at 8:57 AM ADT Sunday
2 October 2011.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical cyclone information statement for:
      Newfoundland
      Nova Scotia.

      For hurricane Ophelia.

      The next statement will be issued by 3:00 PM ADT.

      Hurricane Ophelia beginning to turn toward the northeast -
      Expected to track near the Avalon Peninsula Monday morning as a
      Strong post-tropical storm.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
==discussion==
1. Summary of basic information at 9:00 AM ADT.

Location: near 37.5 north 61.4 west.
About 645 kilometres north-northeast of Bermuda.
Maximum sustained winds: near 205 km/hour.
Present movement: north-northeast at 46 km/hour.
Minimum central pressure: 948 MB.

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Avalon Peninsula.
Rainfall warnings have been issued for Southeastern Newfoundland.

Ophelia - briefly a category four storm Saturday evening - has
finally begun to weaken as it moves toward an environment that will
lead to rapid weakening.  An unrelated non-tropical weather system
stretching from Newfoundland to south of Nova Scotia will move
northward today and give another shot of heavy rain to parts of the
Maritimes today and tonight.  Rain from Ophelia will affect
Southeastern Newfoundland Monday morning.

Computer models are still showing different scenarios for Ophelia's
track - ranging from the Burin Peninsula in Newfoundland to 100
kilometres south of the Avalon.

A. Wind.

Greatest chance for strong winds from Ophelia is over Southeastern
Newfoundland.  There is now about a 70% chance of tropical storm
force winds over the Avalon Peninsula, hence the tropical storm watch
has been maintained - and may be upgraded to a warning this
afternoon.  Tropical storm force winds are approximately 60 gusting
to 90 km/h.  Chance of hurricane-force gusts (120 km/h) in this area
remains low at 5-10%.

B. Rainfall.

Rainfall warnings have been issued for Southeastern Newfoundland.
Rainfall warnings remain in effect for parts of Nova Scotia in
relation to the rain from the fore-mentioned non-tropical system.

This stalled frontal system could tap in to some of Ophelia's
moisture later today and into Monday giving the possibility of
enhanced heavy rainfall over Eastern Nova Scotia. Rainfall directly
from Ophelia is expected over Eastern Newfoundland beginning early
Monday morning. Expect a 4 to 6 hour period of heavy rainfall over
these regions Monday morning. 40 to 60 mm with locally up to 75
millimetres is possible with rainfall rates up to 20
millimetres/hour.

C. Surge/waves.

Waves will be a concern along the South Coast of Newfoundland Monday.
We are still establishing details of what to expect in terms of wave
heights, but a range of 5 to 7 metres is likely along the South Coast
of Newfoundland - Fortune bay and east. Ocean swell will also begin
to reach the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia later today and Monday.
Incident swell height of 3 metres breaking in the 4-metre
(10-14-foot) range is possible late Sunday night along the Atlantic
coast of Nova Scotia. With regard to storm surge, 40 to 60 cm is
possible Monday morning around the Avalon and Burin peninsulas.
This should not pose significant problems but a farther-north track
would necessitate an increase in forecast water levels.

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

Hurricane force wind warnings are in effect for southeastern
Maritimes marine areas near and to the right of Ophelia's track.
Gale or storm warnings are in effect for adjacent areas and portions
of the Grand Banks and Eastern Newfoundland waters. While Ophelia is
currently an intense hurricane its wind field is relatively compact
with its strongest winds confined very close to its center.

Large waves are expected in the offshore - especially to the right
(southeast) and close to Ophelia's track as it moves into Canadian
waters. Greatest threat for large waves is over Laurentian Fan and
Grand Banks where wave heights of 10 metres or more are possible.

Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the
latest:

- forecast position, central pressure table.
- strength and predicted wind radii table.
- hurricane track information map.
- technical discussion.

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings
issued by Environment Canada for your area.

END/COUTURIER/FOGARTY