Tropical Storm Hanna Update 6

000
WTNT33 KNHC 070307
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 41...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

CORRECTED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED IN REPEAT SECTION

...HANNA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MOST OF NEW ENGLAND...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...145 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND
AND ABOUT 135 MILES...220 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY MORNING... AND MOVE OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

INFORMATION FROM SHIPS...BUOYS...AND NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 55 MPH...93 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
...MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DURING
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...REPORTS FROM SEVERAL SHIPS AND BUOYS
SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...72 KM/HR
TO 55 MPH...86 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS ACROSS
THE REGION.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...40.5 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

THE CENTER OF HANNA IS MOVING OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL PORTION OF LONG
ISLAND. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 050/26...AND HANNA IS RIGHT
ON TRACK. GRADUAL ACCELERATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS HANNA GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE FAST UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIE...AND THE
NEW NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ABOUT THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST TRACK. THEREFORE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE
AND HANNA IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE U.S. COASTLINE AROUND CAPE COD
MASSACHUSETTS BY 07/0900Z.

HANNA'S FAST FORWARD MOTION HAS LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO SOME OF
INCREASE IN OBSERVED SURFACE WINDS OBTAINED FROM SHIPS AND BUOYS
SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. TWO UNCONFIRMED SHIP REPORTS OF 64 KT AND 60
KT HAVE BEEN RECEIVED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...ONE OF
WHICH OCCURRED IN A RAIN BAND. HOWEVER...THESE COULD HAVE BEEN
ISOLATED GUSTS AND THE RAIN BANDS HAVE SINCE DISSIPATED.
THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE 50 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY
BASED ON EARLIER DOPPLER VELOCITY VALUES OF 70 KT AT 5000 TO 7000
FT THAT COVERED A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT
OF HANNA IN SEVERAL RAIN BANDS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND HANNA COULD EASILY BE
AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM WITH 50-KT SUSTAINED WINDS AT ANY OF THE
FORECAST TIMES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 07/0300Z 40.5N 73.4W 50 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 07/1200Z 43.0N 68.8W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 08/0000Z 46.4N 61.1W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 08/1200Z 48.8N 53.2W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 09/0000Z 50.0N 45.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 10/0000Z 52.5N 28.3W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 11/0000Z 56.5N 15.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 12/0000Z 61.5N 11.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

NNNN

Tropical Storm Hanna Regional Warnings; New Warning Issued for New Brunswick

Warnings
Woodstock and Carleton County
9:00 PM ADT Saturday 6 September 2008
Rainfall warning for
Woodstock and Carleton County issued

This is a warning that significant rainfall is expected or occurring in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.


The remnants of tropical storm Hanna remain on track to cross Nova Scotia on Sunday. Rain at times heavy will develop later tonight as Hanna nears and will taper off by Sunday afternoon in hannas wake. Total rainfall amounts of up to 80 millimetres/over 3 Inches are forecast however locally higher amounts are possible. Winds will be gusty from the east ahead of Hanna on Sunday but wind warnings are not expected to be required.

Tropical Storm Hanna Update 5

WOCN31 CWHX 070000
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 PM ADT
SATURDAY 06 SEPTEMBER 2008.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT

... REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA TO CROSS THE MARITIMES
ON SUNDAY...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.00 PM ADT... TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.5 N AND LONGITUDE 74.6 W...NEAR ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H...
AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 992 MB. HANNA IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT
24 KNOTS... 44 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
SEP 06 9.00 PM 39.5N 74.6W 992 45 83 INLAND
SEP 07 3.00 AM 41.5N 71.9W 992 45 83 TRANSITIONING
SEP 07 9.00 AM 43.6N 68.4W 994 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 3.00 PM 45.2N 64.4W 998 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 9.00 PM 46.8N 60.1W 998 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 AM 47.9N 55.9W 997 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 AM 49.0N 51.6W 995 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 PM 49.6N 46.7W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 PM 50.2N 41.7W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09 3.00 AM 50.8N 36.7W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09 9.00 AM 51.5N 31.6W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN TO THE MARITIMES ON SUNDAY. RAINFALL WARNINGS WERE ISSUED BY
THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE TODAY FOR SOUTHERN
NEW BRUNSWICK..PEI AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH 40 TO
80 MM LIKELY.. WITH SOME COMPUTER GUIDANCE SUGGESTING NEAR 100 MM
POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. SOME GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER NOVA
SCOTIA..GUSTING TO AROUND 70 KM/H. WINDS SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF A
FACTOR OVER NEW BRUNSWICK.

A LEADING AREA OF MOISTURE UNRELATED TO HANNA THAT BROUGHT SHOWERS
AT TIMES HEAVY TO PARTS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY HAS MOVED OFF TO THE
EAST THIS EVENING. THE HEAVY RAINS FROM HANNA EXPECTED ON SUNDAY
WILL GIVE THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOCAL FLOODING IN PRONE
AREAS AND POSSIBLE ROAD OR SHOULDER WASHOUTS..ESPECIALLY COMBINED
WITH THE RAINFALL THAT OCCURED TODAY AND THE LARGE AMOUNT OF
MOISTURE ALREADY IN THE GROUND OVER MANY PARTS OF THE REGION.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GALES ARE EXPECTED OVER MARITIME WATERS SOUTH OF THE TRACK OF
POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA ON SUNDAY. THESE GALES WILL LIKELY
SPREAD INTO NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
WAVE HEIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH NEAR 5
METRES IN THE OFFSHORE REGIONS BY LATE SUNDAY.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS

A. ANALYSIS
THE CENTRE OF HANNA IS STILL INLAND OVER NEW JERSEY..AND LATEST
RADAR DATA SHOWS THE BULK OF HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS SHIFTING MORE AND
MORE TO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. SHIP AND BUOY DATA IN
THE PATH OF HANNA THIS AFTERNOON HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF AROUND 993 MB AND AN INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS..AND THUS IS
MAINTAINED FOR THE TIME BEING.


B. PROGNOSTIC
IT STILL APPEARS THE GREATEST CONCERN WITH THE REMNANTS OF HANNA
WILL BE RAINFALL. COMPUTER MODELS HAVE BEEN AMAZINGLY CONSISTENT
WITH REGARDS TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF HANNA..WITH THE CONSENSUS
TAKING THE CENTRE OF THE REMNANT LOW ALONG A PATH IN THE VICINITY OF
THE BAY OF FUNDY AROUND NOON SUNDAY. THE LATEST CHC TRACK REMAINS
CONSISTENT WITH THIS GUIDANCE..AS WELL AS THE NHC TRACK..AND TAKES
THE CENTRE OF THE REMNANT LOW ON AN EAST-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK ACROSS
THE FUNDY COASTLINE OF NOVA SCOTIA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD BE
SOUTH OF THE TRACK OF THE STORM..BUT WE DO NOT EXPECT WINDS TO BE
OVERLY SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME. HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
LIKELY BE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE TRACK. THE GEM REGIONAL MODEL
STILL SERVES AS THE PRIMARY GUIDANCE FOR RAINFALL AND WIND..ALTHOUGH
THE 12Z RUN BACKED OFF SLIGHTLY ON QPF FROM THE 00Z RUN. THE
AMOUNTS STILL LOOK REASONABLE AND IS APPROPRIATELY SKEWED LEFT OF
THE LOW'S TRACK WITH A 50 MM TO 100 MM SWATH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
MARITIMES. LATEST NAM AND GFS ARE ALSO VERY SIMILAR TO THE GEM REG
WITH REGARD TO THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND LOCATION..ALTHOUGH ARE
HINTING AT JUST SLIGHTLY HIGHER POSSIBLE TOTALS.

CYCLONE PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS CONTINUE SUGGESTING EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE PRIOR TO IT REACHING CANADIAN WATERS.
THIS INDICATES THAT THE WIND FIELD SHOULD BEHAVE GENERALLY LIKE A
TRADITIONAL BAROCLINIC CYCLONE AS IT CROSSES THE MARITIMES.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
SEE ABOVE.

D. MARINE WEATHER
THESE WIND RADII REPRESENT BOTH HANNA AND THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION
AT THE OUTER EDGES OF THE STORM.

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
07/00Z 200 200 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/06Z 150 220 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/12Z 150 240 100 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/18Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/00Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/06Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/12Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/18Z 170 250 150 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/00Z 180 250 150 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/06Z 190 250 150 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/12Z 190 250 150 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


END BORGEL/CAMPBELL/HATT/LAFORTUNE

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

000
WTNT33 KNHC 062355
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

CORRECTED FOR SPELLING OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY IN LOCATION BLOCK

...HANNA A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT RACES TOWARD NEW ENGLAND...

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM CAPE HENLOPEN NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG
ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.6 WEST OR NEAR
ATLANTIC NEW JERSEY. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 110 MILES...180
KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY AND 120 MILES...195 KM
SOUTHWEST OF ISLIP NEW YORK.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL CROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES
TONIGHT...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
MORNING. THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

INFORMATION FROM SHIPS...BUOYS...AND NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 55 MPH...93
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS FORECAST TO
LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
...MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DURING
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...TWO SHIPS NEAR THE MOUTH OF DELAWARE BAY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 49 MPH...80 KM/HR AND 46 MPH...74
KM/HR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON A RECENT REPORT FROM
A NOAA BUOY IN DELAWARE BAY IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM
SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS...
SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
FROM THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE
REGIONS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...39.5 N...74.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Tropical Storm Hanna Update 4

ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

THE CENTER OF HANNA IS MOVING OVER THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...
WITH RADAR DATA CONTINUING TO SHOW WIDESPREAD RAINBANDS OVER THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL CONVECTION IS
DECREASING...AND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RISEN TO 994 MB.
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN 35-40 KT SUSTAINED WINDS.
SO...THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 45 KT ON THE PREMISE
THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE NOT SAMPLED. AS BEFORE...WHILE LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...HANNA IS
EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN 12-24 HOURS.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 040/23. HANNA IS ENTERING THE WESTERLIES
AND SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HR..FOLLOWED
BY A RAPID EASTWARD MOTION. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME
DECELERATION IS POSSIBLE AFTER 96 HR. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY
WELL CLUSTERED AROUND THIS SCENARIO...AND THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS
ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/2100Z 38.5N 75.8W 45 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 07/0600Z 41.7N 71.8W 45 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 07/1800Z 45.3N 64.6W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 08/0600Z 48.3N 56.0W 45 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 08/1800Z 49.6N 47.2W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 09/1800Z 51.5N 31.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 10/1800Z 56.0N 17.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 11/1800Z 60.0N 10.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

NNNN

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

000
WTNT33 KNHC 062032
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR JUST EAST
OF CAMBRIDGE MARYLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 40 MILES...
65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND ABOUT 100 MILES...
155 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL CROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS
EVENING...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
MORNING. THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS FORECAST TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER. WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 54 MPH...87 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM
SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS...
SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
FROM THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE
REGIONS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...38.5 N...75.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Tropical Storm Hanna Update 3

WOCN31 CWHX 061800
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 PM ADT
SATURDAY 06 SEPTEMBER 2008.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 PM ADT

... REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA TO CROSS THE MARITIMES
ON SUNDAY...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 3.00 PM ADT... TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
37.6 N AND LONGITUDE 76.6 W... ABOUT 45 NAUTICAL MILES OR 80 KM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 993 MB.
HANNA IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 22 KNOTS... 41 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
SEP 06 3.00 PM 37.6N 76.6W 993 45 83 INLAND
SEP 06 9.00 PM 39.7N 74.7W 993 45 83 TRANSITIONING
SEP 07 3.00 AM 41.5N 71.9W 993 45 83 TRANSITIONING
SEP 07 9.00 AM 43.6N 68.4W 1000 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 3.00 PM 45.2N 64.4W 1002 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 9.00 PM 46.8N 60.0W 1002 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 AM 48.2N 55.3W 1002 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 AM 49.1N 50.3W 995 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 PM 49.8N 45.1W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 PM 50.4N 39.7W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09 3.00 AM 51.1N 34.0W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN TO THE MARITIMES ON SUNDAY. RAINFALL WARNINGS WERE ISSUED BY
THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE EARLIER THIS MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK..PEI AND NORTHERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH 40 TO
80 MM LIKELY.. WITH SOME COMPUTER GUIDANCE SUGGESTING NEAR 100 MM
POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. SOME GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER NOVA
SCOTIA..GUSTING TO AROUND 70 KM/H. WINDS SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF A
FACTOR OVER NEW BRUNSWICK.

COMPLICATING MATTERS SOMEWHAT IS A LEADING AREA OF MOISTURE WELL
AHEAD OF HANNA..BUT NOT RELATED TO THE STORM..GIVING SOME HEAVY RAIN
TO PARTS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 30 TO 40 MM
POSSIBLE.

THE HEAVY RAINS FROM HANNA EXPECTED ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOCAL FLOODING IN PRONE AREAS AND POSSIBLE ROAD
OR SHOULDER WASHOUTS..ESPECIALLY COMBINED WITH THE RAINFALL
OCCURRING TODAY AND THE LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ALREADY IN THE
GROUND OVER MANY PARTS OF THE REGION.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA IS FORECAST TO BRING GALES TO SOUTHERN
MARITIME WATERS ON SUNDAY AND TO NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS ON MONDAY.
WAVE HEIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH NEAR 5
METRES IN THE OFFSHORE REGIONS BY LATE SUNDAY.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS

A. ANALYSIS
HANNA MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 420 AM ADT SATURDAY NEAR THE
BORDER BETWEEN SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA. LATEST POSITION
IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AS WELL AS RADAR AND SATELLITE
IMAGERY.

B. PROGNOSTIC
IT STILL APPEARS THE GREATEST CONCERN WITH THE REMNANTS OF HANNA
WILL BE RAINFALL. COMPUTER MODELS HAVE BEEN AMAZINGLY CONSISTENT
WITH REGARDS TO THE TRACK OF HANNA..WITH THE CONSENSUS TAKING THE
CENTRE OF THE REMNANT LOW ALONG A PATH IN THE VICINITY OF THE BAY OF
FUNDY AROUND NOON SUNDAY. THE LATEST CHC TRACK REMAINS CONSISTENT
WITH THIS GUIDANCE..AS WELL AS THE NHC TRACK..AND TAKES THE CENTRE
OF THE REMNANT LOW ON AN EAST-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK ACROSS THE FUNDY
COASTLINE OF NOVA SCOTIA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD BE SOUTH OF
WHERE THE CENTRE TRACKS..BUT WE DO NOT EXPECT WINDS TO BE OVERLY
SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME. HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE
ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE TRACK. THE GEM REGIONAL MODEL STILL
SERVES AS THE PRIMARY GUIDANCE FOR RAINFALL AND WIND..ALTHOUGH THE
12Z RUN BACKED OFF SLIGHTLY ON QPF FROM THE 00Z RUN. THE AMOUNTS
STILL LOOK REASONABLE AND IS APPROPRIATELY SKEWED LEFT OF THE LOW'S
TRACK WITH A 50 MM TO 100 MM SWATH ACROSS THE CENTRAL MARITIMES.
LATEST NAM AND GFS ARE ALSO VERY SIMILAR TO THE GEM REG WITH REGARD
TO THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND LOCATION..ALTHOUGH ARE HINTING AT JUST
SLIGHTLY HIGHER POSSIBLE TOTALS.

CYCLONE PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS CONTINUE SUGGESTING EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE PRIOR TO IT REACHING CANADIAN WATERS.
THIS INDICATES THAT THE WIND FIELD SHOULD BEHAVE GENERALLY LIKE A
TRADITIONAL BAROCLINIC CYCLONE AS IT CROSSES THE MARITIMES.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
SEE ABOVE.

D. MARINE WEATHER
THESE WIND RADII REPRESENT BOTH HANNA AND THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION
AT THE OUTER EDGES OF THE STORM.

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
06/18Z 200 200 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/00Z 200 200 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/06Z 150 220 40 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/12Z 150 240 100 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/18Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/00Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/06Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/12Z 150 250 150 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/18Z 170 250 150 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/00Z 180 250 150 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/06Z 190 250 150 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


END BORGEL/CAMPBELL

Tropical Storm Hanna Regional Warnings

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1131 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...HEAVY RAIN FROM THE REMNANTS OF HANNA TO IMPACT DOWNEAST MAINE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL CONTINUE MOVING UP THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD
THIS AFTERNOON. AT PRESENT SPEED...RAINFALL FROM THIS STORM WILL
REACH DOWNEAST SECTIONS TONIGHT. RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA EARLY SUNDAY...AS THE REMNANTS OF HANNA
TRACKS THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF AROUND
MIDDAY SUNDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF HANNA MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED AROUND
AROUND FIVE INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

MEZ015>017-029-030-062215-
/O.CON.KCAR.FF.A.0003.080907T0000Z-080907T1900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-
COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANGOR...BREWER...ORONO...OLD TOWN...
AMHERST...AURORA...DEDHAM...EASTBROOK...GREAT POND...ORLAND...
DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...
PRINCETON...ELLSWORTH...BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...
MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD
1131 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL MAINE...SOUTHERN
PENOBSCOT. IN SOUTHEAST MAINE...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...COASTAL
HANCOCK...COASTAL WASHINGTON AND INTERIOR HANCOCK.

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL
LIKELY REACH DOWNEAST MAINE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS AROUND 5 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...THE
HEAVY RAINFALL NEAR COASTAL LOCATIONS WILL OCCUR AT THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE IN THE PREDAWN HOURS SUNDAY. THIS COULD AGGRAVATE THE
FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

* THE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN A RELATIVELY SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

$$
STUREY

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fredericton and Southern York County
4:34 AM ADT Saturday 6 September 2008
Rainfall warning for
Fredericton and Southern York County issued

This is a warning that significant rainfall is expected or occurring in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.


The remnants of tropical storm Hanna will approach from the southwest today and track across Nova Scotia on Sunday. Scattered showers will develop well ahead of Hanna today and persist tonight. Rain at times heavy will develop on Sunday as Hanna nears and will taper off by Sunday evening in hannas wake. Total rainfall amounts of up to 80 millimetres/over 3 Inches are forecast however locally higher amounts are possible. Winds will be gusty from the east ahead of Hanna on Sunday but wind warnings are not expected to be required.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Warnings
Hants County
4:34 AM ADT Saturday 6 September 2008
Rainfall warning for
Hants County issued

This is a warning that significant rainfall is expected or occurring in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.


The remnants of tropical storm Hanna will approach from the southwest today and track across the valley and central Nova Scotia Sunday afternoon and western Cape Breton Sunday night. Scattered showers will develop well ahead of Hanna today and persist tonight. Rain at times heavy will develop on Sunday as Hanna nears and will taper off by Sunday evening in hannas wake. Total rainfall amounts of up to 60 millimetres/over 2 Inches are forecast however locally higher amounts are possible. Winds will be gusty from the south to southeast ahead of Hanna on Sunday but wind warnings are not required at this time.

Hanna Update 2

WOCN31 CWHX 061200
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM ADT
SATURDAY 06 SEPTEMBER 2008.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 PM ADT

...VERY WET REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA EXPECTED OVER THE
MARITIMES ON SUNDAY...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.00 AM ADT... TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
35.5 N AND LONGITUDE 78.1 W... ABOUT 35 NAUTICAL MILES OR 65 KM
EAST SOUTHEAST OF RALEIGH-DURHAM . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 985
MB. HANNA IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 19 KNOTS... 35 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
SEP 06 9.00 AM 35.6N 78.1W 985 45 83 INLAND
SEP 06 3.00 PM 37.3N 76.8W 990 45 83 TRANSITIONING
SEP 06 9.00 PM 39.4N 74.2W 992 45 83 TRANSITIONING
SEP 07 3.00 AM 41.2N 72.1W 993 45 83 TRANSITIONING
SEP 07 9.00 AM 42.7N 68.9W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 3.00 PM 44.9N 64.7W 995 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 9.00 PM 46.5N 60.0W 996 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 AM 48.2N 56.2W 995 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 AM 48.8N 51.4W 995 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 PM 49.5N 46.8W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 PM 50.0N 42.0W 994 40 74 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN TO THE MARITIMES ON SUNDAY. THE GREATEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
OVER SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK..PEI AND NORTHERN NOVA SCOTIA WITH 40 TO
80 MM LIKELY. RAINFALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY THE ATLANTIC
STORM PREDICTION CENTRE EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THE ABOVE REGIONS.
SOME COMPUTER MODELS ARE SUGGESTING 100 MM TO BE POSSIBLE.
SOME GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER NOVA SCOTIA..GUSTING TO AROUND
60 KM/H.

WITH THE HEAVY RAINS WILL COME THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOCAL FLOODING
IN PRONE AREAS AND POSSIBLE ROAD OR SHOULDER WASHOUTS..ESPECIALLY
GIVEN THE LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ALREADY IN THE GROUND OVER PARTS
OF THE REGION.

A LEADING AREA OF MOISTURE WELL AHEAD OF HANNA..BUT NOT RELATED TO
THE STORM..MAY BRING SOME HEAVY SHOWERS TO PARTS OF THE MARITIMES
TODAY WITH AMOUNTS UP TO 15 MM POSSIBLE.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA IS FORECAST TO BRING GALES TO SOUTHERN
MARITIME WATERS ON SUNDAY AND TO NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS ON MONDAY.
LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM HANNA AND THE DISTANT HURRICANE IKE SHOULD
BEGIN TO REACH MARITIME WATERS TODAY..HOWEVER WAVE HEIGHTS SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW 3 METRES THEN BUILD TO 5 METRES IN THE OFFSHORE REGIONS
ON SUNDAY.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS

A. ANALYSIS
HANNA MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 420 AM ADT NEAR THE BORDER
BETWEEN SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA JUST SHY OF HURRICANE
STATUS WITH WINDS NEAR 55 TO 60 KTS AND CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB.

B. PROGNOSTIC
IT CERTAINLY LOOKS LIKE THE GREATEST CONCERN WITH THE REMNANTS OF
HANNA WILL BE THE RAINFALL. WE STILL EXPECT THE CENTRE OF THE
REMNANT LOW TO TRACK DIRECTLY OVER NOVA SCOTIA AND MOVE UP ALONG
THE LENGTH OF THE PROVINCE. THIS TRACK WOULD BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS
MAINLY SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTRE TRACKS..BUT WE DO NOT EXPECT
SIGNIFICANT WINDS AT THIS TIME. THE GEM REGIONAL MODEL SERVES AS THE
PRIMARY GUIDANCE FOR TIMING OF RAIN AND WIND. MODEL QPF SEEMS QUITE
REASONABLE AND IS APPROPRIATELY SKEWED LEFT OF THE LOW'S TRACK. QPF
AMOUNTS ALSO LOOK REASONABLE WITH A 50 TO 100 MM SWATH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MARITIMES. OTHER MODELS SUCH AS NAM AND GFS ARE ALSO VERY
SIMILAR TO THE GEM REG WITH REGARD TO THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND
LOCATION.

CYCLONE PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS CONTINUE SUGGESTING EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE PRIOR TO IT REACHING CANADIAN WATERS.
THIS INDICATES THAT THE WIND FIELD SHOULD BEHAVE GENERALLY LIKE A
TRADITIONAL BAROCLINIC CYCLONE AS IT CROSSES THE MARITIMES.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
SEE ABOVE.

D. MARINE WEATHER
THESE WIND RADII REPRESENT BOTH HANNA AND THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION
AT THE OUTER EDGES OF THE STORM.

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
06/12Z 200 200 60 0 0 60 0 0 0 0 0 0
06/18Z 200 200 40 0 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/00Z 175 200 40 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/06Z 150 200 40 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/12Z 120 200 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/18Z 75 280 200 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/00Z 75 300 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/06Z 120 300 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/12Z 150 250 150 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/18Z 170 250 150 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/00Z 180 250 150 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


END FOGARTY/SUTHERLAND/BORGEL/CAMPBELL

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ZCZC MIATCUAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HANNA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
340 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM HANNA MADE LANDFALL NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA AT ABOUT 320 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB


NNNN