Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 172108
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON JUL 17 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE AREA IN A FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND A POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND GALE AREA IS RAPIDLY MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD AND IS PASSING A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS GALE AREA CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZNTO1 KWBC AND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS BETWEEN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN
UPPER LOW. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THE AREA AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI

Surface Chart created this afternoon; depicting the areas of disturbed weather I previously mentioned. 

Weather Report For Johnson Settlement NB, Recorded At 2100 UCT On 07/17/2006

Temp: Current; 28.4 C/83 F, High; 30.7 C/87 F, Low; 17.2 C/63 F


Hum: 68%


Bar: 1008 mb/29.78 Inches; Falling Slowly


Sky: Mainly Cloudy; Cirrus & Cirrostratus and Scatt. Cumulus & Scatt. Towering Cumulus, with moderate smog


Wind: South; 6 gusting to 16 mph/10 gusting to 26 km/h


Precip: None


Total Precip: None


Note: Warmest day of the year, and the season, thus far.

Today in the Western North Atlantic there are 3 areas of interest, in regards to possible tropical cyclogneiss. Area 1 is a possible short lived Tropical depression, or even weak tropical storm, that is moving towards Nova Scotia. This area is of little future concern, as it is heading towards cooler waters and weakening. Area 2 may spawn a tropical cyclone that could threaten the Eastern Seaboard in a few days, and perhaps even have some effect on our future weather as well. Area 3 may spawn another TC, that could threaten the East Coast next week. Stay tuned. 

Warmer Atlantic could affect hurricanes: in Maine and the Maritimes

Canadians enjoying the warmest year on record

U.S. EXPERIENCED RECORD WARM FIRST HALF OF YEAR, WIDESPREAD DROUGHT AND NORTHEAST RECORD RAINFALL

Weather Summary For 07/16/2006

Temp: High; 29.4 C/85 F, Low; 17.4 C/63 F


Total Precip: 16 mm/0.63 Inch of rainfall


Note: Warmest day of the year, and the season, thus far.

Another thunderstorm, occurred in the early morning hours, causing three short power outages.

Moderate smog, occurred in the daylight hours.

Weather Summary For 07/15/2006

Temp: High; 30.5 C/87 F, Low; 14.1 C/57 F


Total Precip: None


Note: None