Monday, September 06, 2021

August 2021 Climate Summary for Northern and Eastern Maine

000
NOUS41 KCAR 012013
PNSCAR
MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-020815-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
413 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2021

...AUGUST 2021 CLIMATE NARRATIVE FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN MAINE...

AUGUST 2021 FINISHED WITH SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES 
AND MOSTLY BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES FOR THE MONTH RANGED FROM 2.0 DEGREES ABOVE THE 1991-
2020 AVERAGES OVER DOWNEAST AREAS UPWARDS TO 5.0 DEGREES ABOVE 
AVERAGE ACROSS THE NORTH. IN FACT, IT WAS THE WARMEST AUGUST OF 
RECORD AT CARIBOU AND HOULTON, THE 2ND WARMEST AT MILLINOCKET, AND 
7TH WARMEST AT BANGOR WITH MONTHLY MEANS OF 69.5, 69.2, 70.4, AND 
70.9 RESPECTIVELY. PRIOR WARMEST AUGUSTS AT CARIBOU AND HOULTON WERE 
68.9 FOR 2018 AND 67.9 IN 1973, RESPECTFULLY. WARMEST AUGUSTS FOR 
MILLINOCKET AND BANGOR WERE RECORDED IN 1937 WITH 70.4 AND 75.1 
RESPECTIVELY. 

INTERESTINGLY AT CARIBOU, THE TOP FOUR WARMEST AUGUSTS OF RECORD 
HAVE BEEN RECORDED SINCE 2012 IN SUCCESSIVE ORDER EVERY 3 YEARS WITH 
68.0 IN 2012, 68.2 IN 2015, 68.9 IN 2018, IN ADDITION TO THIS 
CURRENT MONTHS AVERAGE OF 69.5 DEGREES. MAKES IT INTERESTING TO WAIT 
FOR THE OUTCOME OF AUGUST 2024. ALSO, THIS MONTH AT CARIBOU FEATURED 
17 DAYS OF HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 80+ DEGREES INCLUDING 3 DAYS OF 90+ 
HIGHS. 90+ DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES OCCURRED SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE 
REGION ON THE 12TH-13TH, 19TH, AND 26TH. 

TOTAL RAINFALL RANGED FROM AS LOW AS 40 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ACROSS 
THE NORTH AND FAR WEST, INCLUDING THE LOWER PENOBSCOT VALLEY WHERE 
RAINFALL CONSISTED MOSTLY OF HIT OR MISS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS 
UPWARDS TO 100 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST 
DOWNEAST AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE OF 
HENRI WAS ABLE TO REACH ON THE 23RD AND 24TH BEFORE DEPARTING INTO 
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. 

IN CARIBOU, A TOTAL OF 2.46" OF RAIN WAS OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH 
WITH 4.19" OF TOTAL EVAPORATION FOR THE MONTH. BY THE END OF AUGUST, 
MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS NORTHERN SOMERSET 
COUNTY, MOST OF PISCATAQUIS COUNTY, AND ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN 
AROOSTOOK COUNTY. ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS 
MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN MAINE. THE ONLY AREAS 
THAT WERE NOT LISTED AS ABNORMALLY DRY WERE HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON 
COUNTIES. 

THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION 
CENTER IS CALLING FOR GREATER PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE AVERAGE 
TEMPERATURES. THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO STRONG CLIMATE SIGNALS THAT 
WOULD POINT TOWARD IT BEING UNUSUALLY WET OR DRY ACROSS MOST OF THE 
REGION, BUT THE ODDS ARE SLIGHTLY TILTED TOWARD ABOVE AVERAGE 
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COAST. OVER 1 1/2 HOURS OF DAYLIGHT IS LOST 
DURING THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER. FROST IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN 
VALLEYS ANYTIME DURING THE MONTH, BUT BECOMES INCREASINGLY LIKELY 
DURING THE 2ND HALF OF THE MONTH. ALONG THE COAST, FROST IS UNLIKELY 
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE MONTH AND IS POSSIBLE DURING THE 2ND 
HALF OF THE MONTH, ALTHOUGH IT REMAINS UNLIKELY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 
COAST. THE NEW 1991-2020 AVERAGE RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER 
IS 3.44" IN CARIBOU AND 3.76" IN BANGOR. 

$$

CB/VJN

Drought Information Statement For Northern & Eastern Maine 09/02/2021

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AXUS71 KCAR 022122
DGTCAR
MEC003-009-019-021-025-029-092130-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
522 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2021

.SYNOPSIS AND DROUGHT INTENSITY...
DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE DETERIORATED DURING THE PAST WEEK ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MAINE. PLEASE VISIT THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
AT WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU FOR A VISUAL DEPICTION OF THE 
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE. 

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS TO THE AREA OF MODERATE DROUGHT 
(D1) WHICH WAS EXPANDED TO THE EAST TO INCLUDE ALL OF PISCATAQUIS 
COUNTY AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PENOBSCOT COUNTY.
THIS EXPANSION WAS DUE TO PRECIPITATION DEFICITS DURING THE PAST 
30 TO 90 DAYS, LOW SOIL MOISTURE, AND BELOW NORMAL STREAMFLOW 
ACTIVITY. ACCORDING TO THE USGS, STREAMFLOW ACTIVITY ON THE EAST 
BRANCH OF THE PENOBSCOT RIVER WAS IN THE 8TH PERCENTILE. 

DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS, PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN HIGHLY VARIABLE 
ACROSS THE REGION. THE MOST WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION FELL WITH
THE REMAINS OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM (HENRI) ON AUGUST 23-24 THAT 
LOCALLY PRODUCED OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK 
COUNTY, COASTAL HANCOCK COUNTY, PARTS OF COASTAL WASHINGTON 
COUNTY, AND IN PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PENOBSCOT COUNTY. 

FOR THE 14 DAY PERIOD ENDING ON SEPTEMBER 1ST, PRECIPITATION 
RANGED FROM 130 TO 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL IN SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK 
COUNTY AND ALONG COASTAL HANCOCK COUNTY. THERE WAS A SMALL AREA 
OF NEAR AVERAGE PRECIPITATION THAT EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL HANCOCK 
COUNTY NORTH INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY. 
ELSEWHERE, PRECIPITATION WAS MOSTLY ONLY 25 TO 70 PERCENT OF 
NORMAL. PRECIPITATION WAS LESS THAN 25 PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS 
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK COUNTY AND NORTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY. DUE TO 
THE NATURE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, SOME LOCAL BASINS 
RECEIVED MORE OR LESS PRECIPITATION THAN DESCRIBED ABOVE. 

.PRECIPITATION...
PRECIPITATION FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST RANGED FROM 25 TO 75 PERCENT
OF NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. THE ONLY AREAS WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION WERE ACROSS PARTS OF HANCOCK COUNTY, EXTREME
SOUTHEAST PENOBSCOT COUNTY, AND A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHEAST
AROOSTOOK COUNTY WHERE RAINFALL WAS 100 TO 130 PERCENT OF NORMAL.  

FOR THE METEOROLOGICAL SUMMER (JUNE THROUGH AUGUST), PRECIPITATION
RANGED FROM 100 TO 130 PERCENT OF NORMAL DOWNEAST AND INTO 
NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY, AND FROM 50 TO 90 PERCENT ACROSS THE 
REMAINDER OF NORTHERN MAINE. ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK COUNTY
PRECIPITATION RANGED FROM 25 TO 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL. 

SINCE JUNE 1ST, 8.81 INCHES OF RAIN WAS OBSERVED AT CARIBOU. A
TOTAL OF 13.58" OF EVAPORATION WAS OBSERVED. IT IS IMPORTANT TO 
NOTE THAT THIS IS A SLIGHT UNDERESTIMATE OF THE TOTAL EVAPORATION 
AS READINGS WERE NOT TAKEN ON JUNE 1-5.

.HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...
RIVER FLOWS: REMAIN WELL BELOW TO BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF 
YEAR. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL ARE ON THE PISCATAQUIS 
RIVER WITH FLOW OF ONLY 4 TO 14 PERCENT OF NORMAL. THE
PISCATAQUIS RIVER AT DOVER-FOXCROFT WHICH HAS 118 YEARS OF RECORD 
WAS THE LOWEST ON RECORD FOR AUGUST 26TH. 

ON THE SAINT JOHN RIVER WITH VALUES IMPROVED A BIT THIS WEEK AND
ARE NOW RUNNING FROM 28 TO 40 PERCENT OF NORMAL. ELSEWHERE, 
VALUES RANGED FROM 20 TO 28 PERCENT OF NORMAL ON THE AROOSTOOK 
AND ALLAGASH RIVERS. ON THE PENOBSCOT RIVER, CONDITIONS
DETERIORATED IN THE PAST WEEK AND NOW RANGE FROM 32 TO 53 PERCENT
OF NORMAL. FINALLY, ON THE MATTAWAMKEAG CONDITIONS ALSO 
DETERIORATED IN THE PAST WEEK AND ARE 56 PERCENT OF NORMAL AT 
MATTAWAMKEAG. 

SEVEN TO 14 DAY STREAMFLOWS VARY SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE REGION.
THEY ARE NEAR NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON 
COUNTIES, AND ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS A SMALL AREA THAT EXTENDS FROM
FAR NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY INTO SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK COUNTY.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION STREAMFLOWS ARE EITHER BELOW OR WELL
BELOW NORMAL, AND EXTREMELY LOW IN SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY.  

GROUNDWATER AND WATER STORAGE (LAKES/RESERVOIRS): A LONG-TERM 
IMPACT OF THE DROUGHT IS LOWER GROUNDWATER LEVELS. GROUNDWATER 
LEVELS ARE VERY SLOW TO RESPOND, AND ALSO CAN BE VERY SLOW TO 
RECOVER. MOST LAKES AND RESERVOIRS ACROSS THE REGION ARE RUNNING 
BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES ACROSS THE REGION, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS WHERE RAINFALL DEFICITS ARE GREATEST. 
GROUNDWATER CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
NORTHERN MAINE AND CLOSER TO NORMAL ACROSS EASTERN MAINE. WELLS
IN MILLINOCKET AND CLAYTON LAKE REGISTERED RECORD LOWS FOR THE 
MONTH OF AUGUST BASED ON PERIODS OF RECORD THAT GO BACK 30-40 
YEARS. 

.SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
WATER RESOURCES: NONE AT THIS TIME. THERE HAVE BEEN SOME REPORTS
OF PRIVATE WELLS THAT HAVE RUN DRY IN AROOSTOOK AND PENOBSCOT
COUNTIES, BUT THE LOCATION OF THESE WELLS IS UNKNOWN. WE ARE NOT 
AWARE OF ANY COMMUNITY WATER RESTRICTIONS IN OUR REGION AT THIS 
TIME.

WILDFIRE CONDITIONS: THE MAINE FOREST SERVICE HAS REPORTED 
THAT WILDFIRE ACTIVITY IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
AFTER AN ACTIVE START TO THE FIRE WEATHER SEASON THIS SPRING.

AGRICULTURAL CONDITIONS: GIVEN THE EXPANSION OF MODERATE DROUGHT 
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AGRICULTURAL AREAS OF THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY
IRRIGATION OF MANY CROPS HAS BEEN REQUIRED. THERE HAS NOT BEEN AS
MUCH STRESS ON POTATO AND OTHER LOCAL CROPS SUCH AS BROCCOLI 
COMPARED TO THIS TIME LAST YEAR, BUT SOME CROPS THAT ARE NOT
RECEIVING IRRIGATION ARE FAILING. 

.DROUGHT MITIGATION ACTIONS...
THE STATE OF MAINE HAS ACTIVATED ITS DROUGHT TASK FORCE. HYDRO 
OPERATORS ARE MONITORING CONDITIONS AND BALANCING NEEDS OF LAKE 
LEVELS, HYDROELECTRIC POWER GENERATION NEEDS, AND DISCHARGES TO 
MAINTAIN STREAM FLOW AND RECREATION NEEDS DOWNSTREAM. 

IN RESPONSE TO ESCALATED DROUGHT, THE MAINE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
AGENCY HAS PUBLISHED AN ONLINE SURVEY FOR HOME OWNERS TO REPORT 
PRIVATE WELLS RUNNING DRY AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR ASSISTANCE:
HTTPS://MAINE-DRY-WELL-SURVEY-MAINE.HUB.ARCGIS.COM/.

.PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE AND HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS...
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS OUTLOOK FROM DAYS 6 TO 10 (SEP 
8-12) FAVORS ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION. THE 
PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NEAR AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. THE 
DAYS 8-14 (SEP 10-16) CALLS FOR AN INCREASED CHANCE OF ABOVE 
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO STRONG SIGNALS THAT
WOULD POINT TOWARD IT BEING UNUSUALLY WET OR DRY.

RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMAINS OF IDA ARE NOT INCLUDED IN
THIS REPORT AS THE DATA CUTOFF FOR THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS 8
AM EDT ON TUESDAY WITH THE UPDATED MONITOR BEING RELEASED AT 8:30
AM EDT EACH THURSDAY. 

.NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING, SEPTEMBER 17,
2021, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. 

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES...

US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
NORTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.NRCC.CORNELL.EDU

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV
US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL
INFORMATION...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...
STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
810 MAIN ST
CARIBOU ME 04736
PHONE...207-492-0180
CARWEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

CB