Extratropical Storm Arthur (storm force) Update Ten - Maine event summary
FXCN31 CWHX 060000
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8.43 PM ADT
SATURDAY 05 JULY 2014.
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT
1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION
AT 9.00 PM ADT, POST-TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
46.9 N AND LONGITUDE 63.6 W, ABOUT 79 NAUTICAL MILES OR 146 KM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF I'LES DE LA MADELEINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS (93 KM/H) AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 980 MB.
ARTHUR IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 18 KNOTS (33 KM/H).
2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH
DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
JUL 05 9.00 PM 46.9N 63.6W 980 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 06 3.00 AM 47.3N 61.6W 985 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 06 9.00 AM 48.2N 59.7W 985 40 74 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 06 3.00 PM 49.5N 57.5W 985 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 06 9.00 PM 50.8N 55.5W 995 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 07 3.00 AM 52.8N 54.2W 988 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 07 9.00 AM 54.6N 53.1W 988 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 07 3.00 PM 56.4N 52.0W 988 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 07 9.00 PM 58.3N 50.7W 990 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
JUL 08 3.00 AM 60.3N 49.6W 992 35 65 POST-TROPICAL
3. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
A. ANALYSIS
POST TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR MADE YET ANOTHER LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR FUNDY NATIONAL PARK. THE CENTER OF THE STILL VERY INTENSE AND IS
LOCATED NEAR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. THE MOISTURE WRAPPING ON THE
WESTERN SIDE OF THE STORM IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BAROCLINIC BAND
WHICH EXTENDS FROM LABRADOR TO MAINE. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE
AREA OF HEAVY RAIN EMBEDED IN THE BAND ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN MAINE
AND NEW BRUNSWICK WHERE STORM TOTAL REPORTS OF 140 MM HAVE BEEN
RECEIVED. NOVA SCOTIA IS EXPERIENCING THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GUSTS
IN THE 55 TO 75 KNOT RANGE HAVE BEEN REPORTED BY LAND AND MARINE
STATIONS IN THE SOUTHERLY CIRCULATION AHEAD OF THE STORM. ALSO A
STING JET HAS DEVELOPED ON THE REAR FLANK OF THE STORM RESULTING IN
WESTERLY GUSTS BETWEEN 55 TO 75 KNOTS.
B. PROGNOSTIC
THE FORWARD SPEED OF ARTHUR HAS BEEN CONSTANT DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS AND IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS. THE STORM WILL
TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ST LAWRENCE AS A STRONG
POST-TROPICAL SYSTEM AND THEN ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND SUNDAY BEFORE
EXITING INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC AS A WEAKENING BAROCLINIC SYSTEM. THE
TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH TO REFLECT THE CURRENT
ISOBARIC FIELD OVER THE REGION.
C. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
06/00Z 150 195 155 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
06/06Z 160 205 160 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
06/12Z 165 215 160 95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
06/18Z 170 230 160 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/00Z 190 235 160 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/06Z 205 235 160 45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/12Z 230 260 160 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/18Z 250 265 160 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/00Z 250 250 160 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/06Z 270 255 160 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
END/MERCER/COUTOURIER
000
NOUS41 KCAR 060021
PNSCAR
MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-061221-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
821 PM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014
THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION
IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...CWOP
OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS...FACEBOOK FANS...AND MEDIA FOR THESE
REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT
WEATHER.GOV/CARIBOU
********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
RAINFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT
MAINE
...AROOSTOOK COUNTY...
PRESQUE ISLE 1 ENE 3.64 311 PM 7/05
CONNOR 3.30 631 PM 7/05
PRESQUE ISLE 3.28 820 PM 7/05
KNOWLES CORNER 3.13 544 PM 7/05
FORT FAIRFIELD 2 NE 3.12 418 PM 7/05
HOULTON 3.09 546 PM 7/05
MONTICELLO 3 NW 2.90 317 PM 7/05
CARIBOU 2.43 546 PM 7/05 PEAK WIND GUST 52 MPH
LILLE 1.95 809 PM 7/05
LILLE 5 SSE 1.80 208 PM 7/05
OXBOW 1.71 548 PM 7/05
NEW SWEDEN 1 E 1.62 137 PM 7/05
SHERMAN 1.34 550 PM 7/05
FRENCHVILLE 1.00 547 PM 7/05
FOX BROOK 0.72 548 PM 7/05
EAGLE LAKE 0.67 548 PM 7/05
...HANCOCK COUNTY...
BROOKSVILLE 4 ENE 3.95 310 PM 7/05
BUCKSPORT 5 NNW 3.57 112 PM 7/05
BROOKLIN 3.57 442 PM 7/05
MOUNT DESERT 2 ESE 3.46 313 PM 7/05
BLUE HILL 3.33 316 PM 7/05
SURRY 2 E 3.24 222 PM 7/05 WIND GUST 40 AT 8 AM
ELLSWORTH 3.22 316 PM 7/05
BROOKLIN 3.21 316 PM 7/05
DEER ISLE 3 N 3.20 535 PM 7/05
SOUTHWEST HARBOR 2 S 2.98 412 PM 7/05
ELLSWORTH 4 ESE 2.95 536 PM 7/05
...PENOBSCOT COUNTY...
BANGOR 3.15 545 PM 7/05
SUNKHAZE NWR 3.11 603 PM 7/05
OLD TOWN 3.05 602 PM 7/05
DIXMONT 2.99 551 PM 7/05
PATTEN 2.35 549 PM 7/05
MILLINOCKET 1.38 546 PM 7/05
...PISCATAQUIS COUNTY...
SEBEC 1.70 821 PM 7/05
KOKADJO 1.62 549 PM 7/05
GREENVILLE 1.56 547 PM 7/05
BLANCHARD 1.53 550 PM 7/05
RIPOGENUS 1.23 545 PM 7/05
...SOMERSET COUNTY...
SAINT ZACHARIE 1.15 551 PM 7/05
...WALDO COUNTY...
ACADIA NP 3.46 604 PM 7/05
...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
WHITING 3 NNE 6.23 425 PM 7/05
PEMBROKE 6.15 1032 AM 7/05
MOOSEHORN NWR 6.02 542 PM 7/05
MACHIAS 5.64 304 PM 7/05
MOOSEHORN NWR 5.49 306 PM 7/05
ADDISON 3 NW 4.74 306 PM 7/05
TOPSFIELD 4.63 533 PM 7/05 PEAK WIND GUST 50 MPH
PEMBROKE 1 WSW 4.56 307 PM 7/05
EAST MACHIAS 4 E 4.50 608 PM 7/05
EASTPORT 4.44 538 PM 7/05 PEAK WIND GUST 56 MPH
PRINCETON 2 ESE 4.36 308 PM 7/05
PRINCETON 4.21 543 PM 7/05
EASTPORT 1 WNW 4.06 309 PM 7/05
VANCEBORO 3.99 310 PM 7/05
PRINCETON 3 WNW 3.80 311 PM 7/05
DANFORTH 3.63 544 PM 7/05
CENTERVILLE 4 SSE 3.51 541 PM 7/05
ALEXANDER 3.50 1032 AM 7/05
COLUMBIA FALLS 1 NNE 2.79 608 PM 7/05
CHERRYFIELD 4 W 2.24 335 PM 7/05 THE RAIN HAS ENDED
$$
posted by Advackia at 5:36 PM
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