Sunday, June 01, 2014

First day of North Atlantic Hurricane Season

000
ABNT20 KNHC 011135
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUN 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated and nearly stationary area of low pressure located over
the Bay of Campeche extends northeastward into the south-central
Gulf of Mexico. Although shower activity is currently disorganized,
some slow development of this disturbance is possible this week as
environmental conditions become marginally conducive.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30.  Long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3,
respectively.

The list of names for 2014 is as follows:

Name           Pronunciation    Name            Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Arthur         AR-thur          Laura           LOOR-ruh
Bertha         BUR-thuh         Marco           MAR-koe
Cristobal      krees-TOH-bahl   Nana            NA-na
Dolly          DAH-lee          Omar            OH-mar
Edouard        eh-DWARD         Paulette        pawl-LET
Fay            fay              Rene            re-NAY
Gonzalo        gohn-SAH-loh     Sally           SAL-ee
Hanna          HAN-uh           Teddy           TEHD-ee
Isaias         ees-ah-EE-ahs    Vicky           VIH-kee
Josephine      JOH-seh-feen     Wilfred         WILL-fred
Kyle           KY-ull

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.  The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT.  After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are
1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled
issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook.  Special Tropical
Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS
headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the Tropical Cyclone
Public Advisory, the Forecast/Advisory, the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion, and the Wind Speed Probabilities, is issued every six
hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones.  In addition, a Special
Advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of
significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings.  It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package.  The Tropical
Cyclone Update is also used to provide a continuous flow of
information regarding the center location of a tropical cyclone
when watches or warnings are in effect and the center can be easily
tracked with land-based radar.  Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.

All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov. You can also
interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.
Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued.  Information about our
Atlantic Twitter feed is available at
http://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.php.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

May 2014 Climate Summary for northern and eastern Maine

May 2014 went down in the record books with near average
temperatures and precipitation across northern and eastern Maine.

Temperatures across northern and eastern Maine this past may were
generally within one degree of the 30-year average temperature.
The average temperature at Caribou was 52.3 degrees which was just 8
tenths of a degree above normal.  The high temperature this past May
was 78 degrees on the 16th, .And the low temperature of 29 degrees
was observed on the 9th.  At Bangor, the average temperature of
54.5 degrees was also 8 tenths of a degree above normal.
Temperatures at Bangor this past may ranged from a high of 79 on the
12th to a low of 32 on the 9th.

Frost and even freezing temperatures were common across northern and
eastern Maine on the morning of the 29th. Lows were in the upper 20s
and lower 30s, even all the way down to coastal Washington and
coastal Hancock counties.

At Caribou, there were 5 days this past may with a high temperature
of 70 degrees or warmer, which compares to an average of 8 days.
At Bangor, there were a total of 7 days with a high temperature of 70
or warmer, which compares to an average of 10.

Precipitation was spread out fairly evenly throughout the month,
although there were several consecutive days with rain from the 17th
through the 20th at most locations across northern Maine.
Precipitation in most areas was near normal and across the region
ranged from 75 to 125 percent of normal. A total of 3.17 inches of
rain was observed at Caribou, which was 16 hundredths of an inch
(0.16") below normal.  At Bangor 3.31 inches of rain fell, Which
was 33 hundredths (0.33") of an inch below normal.  It was the
driest May at Caribou and Bangor since 2010.

The average wind speed this past may at Caribou was 7.6 mph and the
peak wind gusts for the month was 40 mph on the 17th.  At
Bangor, the average wind speed was 7.4 mph and the peak wind speed
for the month was 36 mph on the 6th. The average wind speed was a
bit below average at both locations.

Thunder was observed on one day at Caribou.  No thunder was observed
during the month of May at the Bangor International Airport.  On
average, a thunderstorm is observed on two days during the month of
May at caribou, and about once every other year at Bangor.

In June, the average high at Caribou (Bangor) climbs from 68 (70)
degrees on the 1st to 75 (78) by months end.  The average low
temperature is 45 (48) degrees on the 1st and warms to 54 (56) by
the end of the month.  The amount of available daylight continues to
increase until the summer solstice, which this year occurs at 6:51
am on the 21st.  On the 21st there are 15 hours and 52 minutes while
the sun is above the horizon and 17 hours and 12 minutes of usable
daylight (civil twilight).

The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for June indicates
that there are no strong climate signals that would tilt the odds
towards an unusually wet or dry June, or an unusually hot and cool
month.

June Climate Preview for Caribou, Maine


During the month of June the average high temperature climbs from 68 degrees in the 1st to 75 on the 30th.  The average low temperature rises from 45 degrees in the 1st to 54 by the end of the month.

The warmest temperature ever observed during the month of June was 96 degrees on June 29, 1944.  The coldest temperature ever observed in June was 30 degrees on June 7, 1958.  The high of 96 tied with may 22, 1977 for the all-time warmest temperature ever observed at caribou since weather records began in 1939.

Thunderstorms are observed on average of 5 days during the month of June at caribou.  Severe  weather becomes an increasing threat, and June has produced more tornadoes than any other month across northern and eastern Maine.  June has the 2nd highest number of reports of large hail and damaging winds behind only July.

JUNE: CARIBOU’S TOP 5 WARMEST (AVERAGE TEMPERATURES):
64.0 DEGREES IN 1976 & 2006
63.8 1999
63.6 1994
63.2 2005

JUNE: CARIBOU’S TOP 5 COLDEST (AVERAGE TEMPERATURES):
54.5 IN 1958
56.3 2004
56.7 1948
56.9 1940 & 1986

JUNE: CARIBOU’S TOP 5 WETTEST
9.03 INCHES IN 2011
7.30 2010
6.97 2012
6.44 1977
6.06 2013

JUNE: CARIBOU’S TOP 5 DRIEST
0.88 INCH 1983
1.18 1995
1.25 1965
1.65 1968
1.68 1963


…JUNE  STATISTICS…
….TEMPERATURES (1981-2010 NORMALS)
AVERAGE HIGH……………………….....................................71.5
AVERAGE LOW………...........................................................49.8
MONTHLY AVERAGE…………………………………………..60.7
AVERAGE # OF DAYS W/LOWS < 40F……………………..2
AVERAGE # OF DAYS W/LOWS <50f p="">AVERAGE # OF DAYS W/HIGHS > 70F……………………17
AVERAGE # OF DAYS W/HIGHS > 80F…………………….5


PRECIPITATION
MONTHLY AVERAGE………………………………………….....3.48 INCHES
AVERAGE DAYS WITH MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION…..14
LARGEST 24 HOUR RAINFALL……………………..…………..4.04 INCHES 2011



MISCELLANEOUS JUNE AVERAGES…
NORMAL HEATING DEGREE DAYS………………………..…165
NORMAL COOLING DEGREE DAYS……………………….…34
MEAN WIND SPEED……………………………………………..7.6 MPH
AVERAGE NUMBER OF DAYS W/DENSE FOG…………..…2
MEAN NUMBER OF CLOUDY DAYS………………………….17

SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JUNE 1ST………………………………………………..………..….4:41 AM/8:19 PM
JUNE  30TH  .…………………………………………….…………..4:41 AM/8:30 PM
AMOUNT OF SUN ON SUMMER SOLSTICE (JUNE 21ST)…..15 HOURS AND 52 MINUTES