Beginning of April Nor'Easter

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Caribou ME
650 PM EDT Mon Apr 1 2019

MEZ005-006-011-017-032-022300-
Northern Penobscot-Southeast Aroostook-Central Penobscot-
Central Washington-Northern Washington-
650 PM EDT Mon Apr 1 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Highlands Maine, Far
Eastern Maine, Interior DownEast Maine and Penobscot Valley Maine.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Warm temperatures and rainfall in recent days may lead to ice
breakup and jams today into Tuesday. The primary area of concern is
southern Piscataquis County where most rivers were ice-covered and a
deep snowpack had been in place going into this warm up. The
Aroostook River basin will have a slower response with regard to any
potential ice break up towards Tuesday and Wednesday. Ice jams are
less likely in the Downeast region and towards Bangor due to less
river ice and snowpack.

Low pressure will bring a mix of rain and snow to the area Wednesday.
There is the potential for accumulating snow, but snowfall amounts
remain highly uncertain at this time. The best chance of accumulating
snow will be across the higher terrain and along and near the New
Brunswick border. Please continue to monitor the latest forecasts
from the National Weather Service.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

CB

9:44 PM ADT Monday 01 April 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Halifax Metro and Halifax County West
Heavy rainfall likely for Wednesday.

A low pressure system will intensify east of Cape Hatteras Tuesday evening and then move northeastward towards the Maritimes overnight Tuesday night and Wednesday. Rain associated with the low will likely spread across Nova Scotia Wednesday morning and will fall heavy at times during the day and persist until ending from west to east Wednesday night. Total rainfall amounts of 25 to 50 millimetres are generally expected across the province but could locally reach 75 mm in some areas. These amounts combined with the heavy rates of rainfall could lead to ponding and risk of localized flooding, especially given the ground remains at least partially frozen in some areas of the province.

The rain will be accompanied by strong and gusty southeasterly winds, shifting to strong northwesterly winds Wednesday night.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NSstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NSStorm.

9:42 PM ADT Monday 01 April 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Fredericton and Southern York County
A significant early spring storm will bring rain and snow to much of New Brunswick on Wednesday.

A low pressure system will intensify east of Cape Hatteras Tuesday evening and then move northeastward towards the Maritimes overnight Tuesday night and Wednesday. Snow or rain is likely to begin Wednesday morning over southwestern New Brunswick and then spread quickly across the province by noon. At this time, southern New Brunswick will likely see significant amounts of rain, likely in excess of 25 mm. Central, eastern and northeastern New Brunswick will likely see snow or snow mixed with rain, with amounts in excess of 15 cm or more in some areas. Northwestern New Brunswick will likely only receive light amounts of precipitation from this system.

There is considerable uncertainty in the exact location of the rain/snow boundary, as a slight shift in track or intensity of this system could significantly affect both the amounts and type of precipitation received.

Precipitation will end Wednesday evening as the low tracks by to the southeast of the province.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to NBstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #NBStorm.

9:40 PM ADT Monday 01 April 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

Queens County P.E.I.
Significant rainfall likely for Wednesday.

A low pressure system will intensify east of Cape Hatteras Tuesday evening and then move northeastward towards the Maritimes overnight Tuesday night and Wednesday. Rain associated with the low will likely spread across Prince Edward Island later Wednesday morning and will fall heavy at times during the day and persist until ending Wednesday night. Parts of Prince county could see the rain mix with or change to snow for a time later in the day. Total rainfall amounts in excess of 25 millimetres are possible across most of the Island. These amounts combined with the heavy rates of rainfall could lead to ponding and risk of localized flooding, especially given the ground remains at least partially frozen in some areas of the province.

The rain will be accompanied by strong and gusty southeasterly winds, shifting to strong northwesterly winds Wednesday night.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to PEstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #PEStorm.

March 2019 Climate Summary for Northern and Eastern Maine

...Northern and Eastern Maine March 2019 Monthly Climate Narrative...

Temperatures for the month as a whole averaged below the 30-year averages and ranged from 1.5 to 3.5 degrees below average. The month featured alternating spells of below and above average temperatures. The warmest temperatures of the month were observed on the last day of the month when Caribou observed a high of 56 degrees, and Bangor and Millinocket both had a high of 60 degrees. A few spots across interior Down East observed highs in the lower 60s.

At Caribou, only 7 inches of snow was observed this past March, which was 11.3 inches below average. It ranked as the 6th least snowy March on record, and was the least snowy March since 2010. At Bangor, 6.7 inches of snow was observed, which was 5 inches below average, and in sharp contrast to March 2018 when 33 inches of snow was observed.

Across the region as a whole, precipitation (rain and melted snow) was well below to below average and ranged from 50 to 90 percent of normal. The most significant weather event was a winter storm which affected the region on March 4th. Most of northern Maine observed from 2 to 6 inches of snow, however, parts of coastal Hancock and coastal Washington County observed from 10 to 16 inches of snow.

At the start of the month, the snow depth range from 3 to 5 feet across northern areas. Amounts dropped off rapidly to the south of Millinocket with 8 inches on the ground at Bangor and from 2 to 6 inches along the immediate coast. By the end of the month, there was little or no snow in the greater Bangor region and along the coast with 14 inches at Millinocket, and from 2 to 3 feet across far northern Maine.

Through March, a total of 154 inches of snow was observed at Caribou. This ranks as the 4th snowiest winter through March on record at Caribou. The mean snow depth for the month at Caribou was 38.9 inches, which was well above the 30-year average of 15.8 inches. It ranked as the 2nd highest mean snow depth for the month of March behind 1955 when there was a mean snow depth of 39.6 inches.

The Climate Prediction Center's outlook for northern and eastern Maine for the month of April indicates an increased likelihood of above average temperatures. There are no strong climate signals that would point toward an unusually wet (snowy) or dry month.